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Russel-Research-Method-in-Anthropology

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666 Chapter 21<br />

The contribution of this correlation to the variance of TEENBIRTH is<br />

.481776 2 , or .23211. INCOME accounts for 49% of the variance <strong>in</strong> TEEN-<br />

BIRTH. Add<strong>in</strong>g contributions, we get .49 .23211, or 72.2%, which is the<br />

squared multiple-R <strong>in</strong> table 21.17.<br />

There are three coefficients <strong>in</strong> the regression equation: a, b 1 , and b 2 . These<br />

are the coefficients <strong>in</strong> formula 21.3. Each of the b coefficients is the product<br />

of the standardized regression coefficient for each <strong>in</strong>dependent variable with<br />

the ratio of the standard deviation of the <strong>in</strong>dependent variable to the standard<br />

deviation of the dependent variable.<br />

The standardized coefficient for the relation between (TEENBIRTH) and<br />

(INCOME) is:<br />

b(x 1 x 2 ) r 12 (r 13 )(r 23 )<br />

1 (r 23 ) 2<br />

for INCOME (x 2 ),b .793<br />

for VIOLRATE (x 3 ),b .491<br />

These figures are given <strong>in</strong> table 21.17 as the ‘‘Std. Coef,’’ or standardized<br />

coefficients.<br />

and:<br />

The SD for the mean of INCOME is: 3,074,969<br />

The SD for the mean of TEENBIRTH is: 3.399<br />

The SD for the mean of VIOLRATE is: 269.225<br />

Thus:<br />

b 1 (.793)(3,074.969)/3.399 .001<br />

b 2 (.491)(269.225)/3.399 .006<br />

These figures, and b 1 and b 2 , are given <strong>in</strong> table 21.17 as the ‘‘Coefficients,’’<br />

and are the unstandardized regression coefficients. The method for calculat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the value for a <strong>in</strong> the multiple regression equation is beyond the scope<br />

of this book. (For more about deriv<strong>in</strong>g multiple regression equations, consult<br />

Pedhazur [1997] or Gujarati [1995].)<br />

But there’s more. If we add up the variances accounted for by the zeroorder<br />

correlations of INCOME and VIOLRATE on TEENBIRTH, we get 49%<br />

11.56% 60.56%. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the results <strong>in</strong> table 21.17, however, the<br />

<strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong> a state and the rate of violent crimes together account for 72.2% of<br />

the variance <strong>in</strong> teenage births. In other words, the two variables act<strong>in</strong>g together<br />

account for more than they do separately, and this is the case despite the fact<br />

that the <strong>in</strong>dependent variables are moderately correlated (r .340) with each<br />

other.

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