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Tamtam Proceedings - lamsin

Tamtam Proceedings - lamsin

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0.00e+00 1.00e−11 2.00e−11 3.00e−11 4.00e−11Reduction methods and uncertainty propagation 315k3 (Input Distribution)k5 (Input Distribution)2e+118e+11PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION1.5e+111e+115e+10PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION6e+114e+112e+110k300.00e+00 2.00e−12 4.00e−12 6.00e−12 8.00e−12k5k7 (Input Distribution)k8 (Input Distribution)2e+054e+05PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION1.5e+051e+0550000PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION3e+052e+051e+0500 5e−06 1e−05 1.5e−05 2e−05 2.5e−05 3e−05k700 2e−06 4e−06 6e−06 8e−06 1e−05 1.2e−05 1.4e−05k8Figure 3. PDF kinetic rates k 3,k 5,k 7 et k 8.NO2 (Output Distribution)PAN (Output Distribution)13012021.521Monte carlo (10 000)DEMM (1nd Order)DEMM (2order)Probability Density(m3/ug)110Probability Density (m3/ug)20.520100DEMM (2nd order)Monte CarloDEMM (1st order)19.5902.302 2.304 2.306 2.308 2.31 2.312Concentration(ug/m3)190.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.2Concentration (ug/m3)Figure 4. PDF for P AN and NO 2 obtained with DEMM/SRSM and Monte Carlo.5. Conclusion and future workWe have reviewed in this paper some strategies that may be used in order to computereduced models and PDF for atmospheric chemical mechanisms. In the future we willuse the HDMR Method in a three-dimensional eulerian models (namely POLAIR, [13])with a focus on multiphase chemistry. POD approaches will be tested as well as look-upTAMTAM –Tunis– 2005

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