24.02.2014 Views

Corrigé des exercices - Dunod

Corrigé des exercices - Dunod

Corrigé des exercices - Dunod

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

391<br />

Soit n un entier non nul.<br />

P(Z = 0) = P(X Y )<br />

=<br />

=<br />

+∞∑<br />

n=0<br />

+∞∑<br />

n=0<br />

= 1 − α<br />

P(X n)P(Y = n)<br />

(1 − (1 − a) n )P(Y = n)<br />

P(Z = n) = P(X − Y = n)<br />

=<br />

=<br />

+∞∑<br />

k=0<br />

+∞∑<br />

k=0<br />

= a(1 − a) n α<br />

P(X = k + n)P(Y = k)<br />

a(1 − a) n+k P(Y = k)<br />

Exercice 31.9<br />

Z(Ω) = [1,M ]. Pour tout entier k de [1,M − 1],<br />

P(Z = k) = P(inf(X,M) = k) = P(X = k) = p(1 − p) k−1<br />

P(Z = M) = P(inf(X,M) = M) = P(X M,M = M) = P(X M) = (1 − p) M−1 .<br />

Comme Z est une variable aléatoire réelle finie, Z admet une espérance.<br />

E(Z) =<br />

=<br />

M∑<br />

kP(Z = k)<br />

k=1<br />

M−1<br />

∑<br />

k=1<br />

kp(1 − p) k−1 + M(1 − p) M−1<br />

= 1 + (M − 1)(1 − p)M − M(1 − p) M−1<br />

p<br />

1 − (1 − p)M<br />

=<br />

p<br />

+ M(1 − p) M−1<br />

Y (Ω) = [M,+∞[.<br />

Pour tout entier k de [M+1,+∞[, P(Y = k) = P(sup(X,M) = k) = P(X = k) = p(1−p) k−1 .<br />

P(Y = M) = P(sup(X,M) = M) = P(X M) = 1 − (1 − p) M .

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!