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Estudiss Hidrolbgicos Para<br />

Asesoramiento de la<br />

Hidroenergia<br />

John Stuart Gladwell<br />

junto con la de ingenietia en su presentaci6n de 10s<br />

estudios que preceden a la construccidn de una facili-<br />

dad hidroektrica. Por causa de esta orientaci6n<br />

dual, 61 enlaza las informaciones tkcnicas de la in-<br />

genieria con las precauciones desarrolladas media&e<br />

la experiencia.<br />

Introducciih<br />

Como la mayon’a de la gente sabe, el negocio de1<br />

abastecimiento de electricidad ha venido exper-<br />

mentando cambios revolucionarios en ia actitud en<br />

todo el mundo. Por una parte, existe el llamado a<br />

incrementar el desarrollo de bloques con capacidad<br />

de energia extremadamente grandes - una tenden-<br />

cia que yo he llamado, quiz& no muy generosamente,<br />

la mentalidad con “fijaci6n tinica.” En el otro ex-<br />

tremo, tenemos aquellos que ignoratian en su<br />

totalidad 10s vastos desarrollos de energia en favor<br />

de lo que ellos ven <strong>com</strong>a “alternativas” de conserva-<br />

ci6n energia solar pequefias centrsles hidroekctricas,<br />

ek.<br />

Cada grupo de partidarios tiende a tener su propio<br />

conjunto de “pruebas” que demuestran que ellos<br />

estin correctos en sus suposiciones. Yo creo que la<br />

manera mtis rational de abordar este asunto y el<br />

de&o mk grande para el mundo de hoy es el de<br />

desarrollar un futuro con ener@a balanceada,<br />

tomando en cuenta la utilizaci6n mks apropriada y<br />

razonabie de todos sus recursos.<br />

La hidroelectricidad es uno de esos recursos de<br />

energia. Bien pudiera ser que este recurso no<br />

siempre sea necesario desarrollarlo primer0 - sin<br />

embargo, apartarlo a un lado arbitrariamente ~610<br />

porque no resuelve <strong>com</strong>pletamente el problema, setia<br />

visualizar la situaci6n energetica mundial de una<br />

manera increl’blemente ingenua. De hecho, con 10s<br />

costos de energia “<strong>com</strong>bustible” escalando<br />

rhpidamente, se incrementa grandemente !a opor-<br />

tunidad econ6mica para ampliar el desarrollo de<br />

fuentas alternas que utilizen recursos renovables.<br />

En algunas partes de1 mundo la importancia de<br />

una pequefia planta hidroektrica no po&e todatia<br />

Hydrologic Studies for<br />

ydropower Assessment<br />

John Stuart Gladwell<br />

tion as well as engineering to his discussion of<br />

the s,tudies that must precede construction of a<br />

hydropower facility. Because of his dual orienta-<br />

tion, he brings together hard engineering informa-<br />

tion and the cautions developed with experience.<br />

introduction<br />

The electricity supply business throughout the<br />

world has, as most people are well aware, been<br />

undergoing some revolutionary changes in<br />

attitude. We have on the one hand the call for<br />

increased development of extremely large<br />

blocks of power capacity - a tendency that I<br />

have, perhaps not too generously, entitled the<br />

“single fix” mentality. On the other extreme we<br />

have those who would ignore the large energy<br />

developments entirely in favor of what they see<br />

as the “alternatives” of conservation, solar,<br />

small hydro, etc.<br />

Each group of advocates tends to have its<br />

own set of “proof” to show they are correct in<br />

their assumptions. I believe the more rational<br />

approach, and the great challenge for the world<br />

today, is to develop a balanced energy future,<br />

taking into account the most appropriate and<br />

reasoned use of all of its resources.<br />

Hydro is one source of energy. It may not<br />

always be the source that needs to be<br />

developed first - but to arbitrarily cast it aside<br />

because it doesn’t <strong>com</strong>pletely solve the problem<br />

is an incredibly naive view of this world’s energy<br />

situation. The fact is, that with the rapidly<br />

escalating costs of “fueled” energy, the<br />

economic opportunity for expanded development<br />

of the alternative sources using renewable<br />

resources is greatly increased.<br />

In some areas of the world, the importance of<br />

small hydro may not yet be quantitatively or<br />

economically advantageous to warrant its<br />

serious consideration at this time. But in many<br />

areas, even though the overall percentage of<br />

22

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