World Energy Outlook 2006

efficiency programmes. In countries that have implemented standards, such
as Canada and the United States, the market share of high-efficiency motors
is over 70%. In European countries, which have not adopted such standards,
the market share is often below 15%, despite voluntary programmes.
Standards for electric motors in Australia have prevented lower-efficiency
imported motors from flooding the domestic market. Replacing standardefficiency
motors with high-efficiency ones, however, only accounts for
about 10% of the energy-saving potential assumed in the Alternative Policy
Scenario. The rest comes from policies aimed at better motor sizing,
appropriate use of adjustable speed drives and other measures.
Source: IEA (2006a).
Residential and Services Sectors
Summary of Results
Global energy use in the residential and services sectors combined is 444 Mtoe,
or 11%, lower in 2030 in the Alternative Policy Scenario than in the Reference
Scenario. This saving is equal to almost the current combined consumption of
these sectors in the European Union. The two sectors account for 40% of
savings in final consumption by 2030 and for 68% of electricity savings. The
residential sector accounts for 72% of the consumption and 70% of the savings
in 2030.
Energy savings in the Alternative Policy Scenario in the residential and services
sectors are almost three times higher in non-OECD countries than in the
OECD countries. Of global savings, 200 Mtoe, or 45%, are in electricity.
Electricity consumption varies greatly by region in the residential and services
sectors, accounting for 42% of total consumption in OECD and 26% in non-
OECD in the Alternative Policy Scenario in 2030. The other fuel showing
large regional disparities is biomass, accounting for 7% of the energy use of
these sectors in the OECD and 43% in non-OECD countries in 2030 in the
Alternative Policy Scenario. The change in biomass consumption in the
Alternative Scenario is also very different by region (Figure 9.16). It increases
by 27 Mtoe in the OECD but falls by 123 Mtoe in non-OECD, compared
with the Reference Scenario. This is due to increased heating from modern
biomass technologies encouraged by the EU Biomass Action Plan in Europe
and faster switching in developing countries from traditional biomass for
heating and cooking to modern fuels and cleaner technologies, such as more
efficient stoves. While other renewables will still amount to only 2% of total
consumption in these sectors in 2030 in the Alternative Policy Scenario, the
increase from 55 Mtoe in the Reference Scenario to 87 Mtoe is nonetheless
substantial.
Chapter 9 - Deepening the Analysis: Results by Sector 241
© OECD/IEA, 2007
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