World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Developing Countries
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 2 612 4 460 6 025 7 583 2.8 2.1 –5.4 –12.0
Coal 790 1 442 2 040 2 344 3.2 1.9 –7.5 –20.2
Oil 719 1 317 1 730 2 170 2.5 1.9 –5.9 –12.8
Gas 236 567 897 1 260 4.3 3.1 –6.1 –14.6
Nuclear 15 37 93 192 8.7 6.5 11.4 40.9
Hydro 61 107 169 251 4.3 3.4 2.0 3.2
Biomass and waste 783 972 1 047 1 226 0.7 0.9 –2.8 –0.8
Other renewables
Power generation
7 18 48 140 9.0 8.1 10.5 37.2
and heat plants 524 1 401 2 168 2 958 4.0 2.9 –7.0 –14.3
Coal 268 848 1 284 1 571 3.8 2.4 –8.2 –21.3
Oil 100 150 159 137 0.5 –0.4 –7.2 –13.6
Gas 71 233 377 522 4.5 3.2 –13.1 –27.8
Nuclear 15 37 93 192 8.7 6.5 11.4 40.9
Hydro 61 107 169 251 4.3 3.4 2.0 3.2
Biomass and waste 2 9 50 184 16.8 12.3 18.6 62.3
Other renewables
Other transformation,
7 18 36 100 6.7 6.9 2.5 25.3
own use and losses 297 491 661 810 2.7 1.9 –4.2 –9.4
of which electricity 42 106 176 242 4.7 3.2 –6.7 –14.9
Total final consumption 2 005 3 109 4 130 5 163 2.6 2.0 –4.9 –11.4
Coal 432 464 609 615 2.5 1.1 –6.6 –19.0
Oil 566 1 060 1 428 1 866 2.7 2.2 –5.9 –13.0
Gas 108 245 395 573 4.4 3.3 –0.2 –2.5
Electricity 157 388 691 1 018 5.4 3.8 –6.0 –13.6
Heat 14 37 53 72 3.4 2.6 –2.6 –2.7
Biomass and waste 728 914 943 980 0.3 0.3 –3.9 –7.6
Other renewables 0 1 12 40 26.9 15.9 45.9 80.1
Industry 673 1 114 1 632 1 992 3.5 2.3 –3.8 –9.6
Coal 268 354 505 533 3.3 1.6 –6.6 –18.7
Oil 147 261 333 377 2.2 1.4 –6.1 –13.3
Gas 91 173 280 392 4.5 3.2 0.7 0.1
Electricity 83 198 346 461 5.2 3.3 –4.8 –10.8
Heat 11 25 35 48 3.2 2.6 2.4 11.4
Biomass and waste 74 104 132 180 2.2 2.1 5.6 12.6
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Transport 296 547 750 1 106 2.9 2.7 –5.5 –11.3
Oil 275 526 708 1 018 2.7 2.6 –6.5 –13.8
Biofuels 6 6 21 62 11.3 9.1 38.0 53.4
Other fuels
Residential, services
14 14 20 27 3.3 2.5 –0.9 –1.4
and agriculture 963 1 330 1 581 1 854 1.6 1.3 –5.8 –13.6
Coal 117 78 70 52 –0.9 –1.5 –7.7 –26.9
Oil 114 201 276 325 2.9 1.9 –4.5 –11.7
Gas 16 65 104 166 4.3 3.7 –2.4 –8.2
Electricity 69 174 318 515 5.6 4.3 –7.8 –16.9
Heat 3 11 17 23 3.9 2.8 –11.9 –23.3
Biomass and waste 644 800 786 734 –0.2 –0.3 –6.1 –14.3
Other renewables 0 1 12 40 26.7 15.9 46.8 80.6
Non-energy use 73 119 167 211 3.1 2.2 –3.9 –7.5
548 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007