World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Africa
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 401 582 706 866 1.8 1.5 –3.6 –9.2
Coal 74 101 105 109 0.4 0.3 –5.5 –16.8
Oil 90 121 151 194 2.0 1.8 –6.7 –14.4
Gas 31 64 113 159 5.3 3.5 –4.7 –12.8
Nuclear 2 3 4 4 0.9 0.4 – –
Hydro 5 8 12 23 4.2 4.3 12.3 13.1
Biomass and waste 199 283 319 369 1.1 1.0 –1.8 –4.0
Other renewables
Power generation
0 1 3 9 12.1 10.0 26.5 42.7
and heat plants 69 116 162 240 3.1 2.8 –3.6 –7.8
Coal 39 57 60 64 0.4 0.4 –8.5 –22.6
Oil 11 16 12 10 –2.2 –1.8 –1.5 –6.6
Gas 11 31 64 99 6.8 4.5 –6.1 –16.1
Nuclear 2 3 4 4 0.9 0.4 – –
Hydro 5 8 12 23 4.2 4.3 12.3 13.1
Biomass and waste 0 0 9 36 45.2 23.5 36.3 59.3
Other renewables
Other transformation,
0 1 1 6 5.9 8.0 1.0 36.1
own use and losses 64 76 99 117 2.4 1.6 –1.3 –4.3
of which electricity 6 10 14 21 3.1 2.9 –3.9 –9.3
Total final consumption 294 434 511 614 1.5 1.3 –4.0 –10.6
Coal 19 19 20 19 0.2 –0.1 –1.5 –8.4
Oil 74 109 134 176 2.0 1.9 –7.3 –15.3
Gas 9 20 29 37 3.2 2.3 –3.3 –8.3
Electricity 21 35 52 84 3.6 3.4 –3.9 –9.2
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 171 251 275 295 0.8 0.6 –2.9 –8.9
Other renewables 0 0 1 4 – – 77.5 54.3
Industry 69 86 107 126 2.0 1.5 –1.1 –2.9
Coal 16 15 15 13 0.0 –0.5 –2.0 –11.6
Oil 16 15 19 21 2.1 1.3 –2.4 –6.0
Gas 8 15 20 24 2.6 1.8 –4.0 –9.3
Electricity 12 16 22 31 3.0 2.6 –2.2 –5.5
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 18 25 31 38 2.0 1.5 2.8 10.3
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Transport 39 65 80 116 1.9 2.3 –10.0 –18.6
Oil 39 64 76 109 1.6 2.1 –10.7 –19.5
Biofuels 0 0 1 3 60.8 27.3 14.4 1.3
Other fuels
Residential, services
0 1 3 3 7.8 4.3 – –
and agriculture 183 278 317 362 1.2 1.0 –3.4 –10.4
Coal 3 5 5 6 1.1 0.9 –0.0 –0.3
Oil 16 25 33 36 2.6 1.5 –2.6 –8.3
Gas 1 4 6 9 3.6 3.3 –2.3 –8.5
Electricity 9 19 30 53 4.2 4.0 –5.0 –11.3
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 153 226 242 254 0.6 0.5 –3.6 –11.3
Other renewables 0 0 1 4 – – 80.3 54.9
Non-energy use 4 5 7 10 2.6 2.4 –2.3 –6.0
562 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007