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World Energy Outlook 2006

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Table 14.4: US Biofuels Production Capacity<br />

Available Under construction Total<br />

end-August <strong>2006</strong> or planned<br />

kb/d Mtoe kb/d Mtoe kb/d Mtoe<br />

Ethanol 319 9.4 193 5.7 512 15.1<br />

Biodiesel 26 1.2 47 2.1 72 3.3<br />

Total 344 10.6 240 7.8 584 18.4<br />

Source: IEA analysis based on data from the Renewable Fuels Association website<br />

(www.ethanolrfa.org/industry/locations/) and the National Biodiesel Board website (www.biodiesel.org/).<br />

The development of the corn-based ethanol industry has been boosted by a<br />

federal excise-tax credit on the sale of ethanol, currently amounting to $0.51<br />

per gallon for all blends ($0.13 per litre). Some states also have partial tax<br />

exemptions and provide direct support to ethanol producers. To protect<br />

US corn growers, an import tariff of $0.54 per gallon ($0.14 per litre) is<br />

applied. Federal and state fleet alternative-fuel vehicle purchase mandates and<br />

voluntary programmes, such as Clean Cities, have also boosted ethanol use.<br />

Corn and soybean growers also receive generous federal subsidies. Roughly<br />

10% of the corn crop is currently used for ethanol production. Support for<br />

biodiesel is much more recent. In 2005, Minnesota became the first state to<br />

introduce a requirement that diesel contain at least 2% biodiesel. A federal<br />

excise-tax credit of $0.01 per gallon of crop-based biodiesel for each percentage<br />

point share in the fuel blend was introduced in January 2005.<br />

The phase-out of MTBE from the US gasoline pool is giving added impetus to<br />

ethanol demand and prices. Under the 2005 <strong>Energy</strong> Bill, refiners are no longer<br />

required to add any oxygenates, such as MTBE, to gasoline blends, though<br />

certain emission limits still apply. MTBE has been implicated in the<br />

contamination of groundwater wells in many areas around the nation and the<br />

compound is also believed to be a carcinogen. More than half of the states have<br />

now adopted legislation banning its use and refiners have decided to drop the<br />

additive altogether to avoid the threat of costly legal action where it is still<br />

allowed. The US <strong>Energy</strong> Information Administration estimates that the phaseout<br />

of MTBE could raise ethanol demand in <strong>2006</strong> by approximately 130 kb/d<br />

– an increase of almost 50% on 2005 (USDOE/EIA, <strong>2006</strong>). US ethanol<br />

capacity is expected to jump by about a quarter in <strong>2006</strong>, but even this may not<br />

be sufficient to meet all of the new demand. As a result, there are calls for fuel<br />

standards to be eased and for import tariffs to be removed to prevent domestic<br />

402 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2006</strong> - FOCUS ON KEY TOPICS

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