World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: OECD Europe
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 1 622 1 866 2 021 2 020 0.7 0.3 –1.2 –6.7
Coal 438 330 307 215 –0.6 –1.6 –4.5 –35.0
Oil 627 700 720 674 0.3 –0.1 –3.6 –9.3
Gas 258 439 498 558 1.2 0.9 –6.2 –12.4
Nuclear 204 259 265 217 0.2 –0.7 12.0 45.0
Hydro 38 42 52 58 1.9 1.3 2.2 3.8
Biomass and waste 52 83 138 199 4.7 3.4 12.7 18.7
Other renewables
Power generation
4 14 42 98 10.4 7.8 9.6 22.7
and heat plants 618 746 819 789 0.9 0.2 –0.8 –9.2
Coal 277 243 240 165 –0.1 –1.5 –4.8 –40.1
Oil 48 31 28 13 –0.9 –3.3 –3.6 –1.0
Gas 40 131 158 199 1.7 1.6 –13.1 –19.4
Nuclear 204 259 265 217 0.2 –0.7 12.0 45.0
Hydro 38 42 52 58 1.9 1.3 2.2 3.8
Biomass and waste 8 29 43 59 3.7 2.8 0.5 –3.8
Other renewables
Other transformation,
3 11 33 78 10.2 7.7 3.0 17.1
own use and losses 129 138 138 132 0.0 –0.2 –3.0 –8.5
of which electricity 38 46 49 49 0.6 0.3 –5.4 –14.8
Total final consumption 1 146 1 333 1 462 1 533 0.8 0.5 –2.3 –6.9
Coal 121 56 43 34 –2.3 –1.9 –3.6 –9.2
Oil 548 630 653 622 0.3 –0.1 –3.8 –10.0
Gas 204 290 320 339 0.9 0.6 –2.6 –8.1
Electricity 190 250 285 310 1.2 0.8 –5.3 –14.2
Heat 37 50 58 68 1.3 1.2 –0.4 –0.8
Biomass and waste 44 54 95 140 5.3 3.7 19.4 31.9
Other renewables 1 3 9 21 11.1 8.1 45.4 49.9
Industry 388 408 448 454 0.9 0.4 –2.4 –7.3
Coal 70 41 34 28 –1.7 –1.5 –4.1 –9.6
Oil 112 120 135 124 1.1 0.1 –2.1 –5.0
Gas 92 114 127 134 0.9 0.6 –2.8 –6.2
Electricity 86 104 114 118 0.9 0.5 –5.2 –12.8
Heat 13 11 11 12 0.5 0.5 –1.9 –3.5
Biomass and waste 14 17 26 35 3.8 2.7 14.6 1.6
Other renewables 0 0 0 3 9.1 11.2 – –
Transport 295 381 413 431 0.7 0.5 –3.0 –6.8
Oil 289 371 380 378 0.2 0.1 –4.4 –10.4
Biofuels 0 2 21 36 24.1 11.7 19.2 33.8
Other fuels
Residential, services
6 8 11 17 3.0 2.9 11.8 26.4
and agriculture 432 511 566 612 0.9 0.7 –1.4 –6.4
Coal 50 13 8 5 –4.5 –4.0 –1.7 –8.1
Oil 117 107 104 85 –0.3 –0.9 –3.4 –14.1
Gas 112 174 191 199 0.8 0.5 –2.8 –10.5
Electricity 99 140 162 181 1.3 1.0 –5.9 –16.3
Heat 24 39 47 56 1.5 1.3 –0.1 –0.2
Biomass and waste 29 35 47 70 2.8 2.7 22.3 53.5
Other renewables 1 3 8 18 11.3 7.7 49.4 63.6
Non-energy use 31 33 35 36 0.4 0.3 –4.3 –10.9
540 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007