World Energy Outlook 2006

ethanol prices from rising further, which would, in turn, push up gasoline
prices at the pump. The price of ethanol has risen sharply in recent years in
absolute terms and relative to gasoline.
European Union
EU biofuels consumption is projected to soar over the projection period, by a
factor of 13 in the Reference Scenario and 18 in the Alternative Policy
Scenario. Ethanol contributes most of the increase, its share of total biofuels use
rising from about a fifth today to over two-thirds in 2030 in both scenarios.
The European Union nonetheless remains the leading region for biodiesel.
Most biofuels will be produced within the region, but imports play an
increasing role, especially in the Alternative Policy Scenario.
Biodiesel made up 84% of the 3 Mtoe of all biofuels produced and consumed in
the European Union in 2005. Germany alone accounted for 62% of EU biodiesel
output, with most of the rest coming from France, Italy and Spain (Figure 14.6).
EU production trebled between 2000 and 2005, with the adoption of stronger
national government incentives in an attempt to meet EU targets. Germany and
Spain saw the biggest increases in output. Biodiesel use varies considerably across
EU countries. In Germany, a significant share of biodiesel is sold in pure form
(B100), whereas in France it is used exclusively in a B5 blend. In Italy, half of the
biodiesel produced is used as heating fuel, with the rest blended into B5.
Poland
Italy
United Kingdom
Spain
France
Germany
Source: F.O.Lichts (2006).
Figure 14.6: Biofuels Consumption in Selected EU Countries
Chapter 14 - The Outlook for Biofuels
0 400 800 1 200 1 600 2 000
2002
ktoe
2005
403
14