World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: World
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 8 732 11 204 14 071 17 095 100 100 100 2.1 1.6
Coal 2 183 2 773 3 666 4 441 25 26 26 2.6 1.8
Oil
of which international
3 181 3 940 4 750 5 575 35 34 33 1.7 1.3
marine bunkers 114 165 180 197 1 1 1 0.8 0.7
Gas 1 680 2 302 3 017 3 869 21 21 23 2.5 2.0
Nuclear 525 714 810 861 6 6 5 1.2 0.7
Hydro 185 242 317 408 2 2 2 2.5 2.0
Biomass and waste 923 1 176 1 375 1 645 10 10 10 1.4 1.3
Other renewables
Power generation
56 57 136 296 1 1 2 8.3 6.6
and heat plants 2 800 4 133 5 483 6 926 100 100 100 2.6 2.0
Coal 1 190 1 888 2 577 3 232 46 47 47 2.9 2.1
Oil 328 292 302 241 7 6 3 0.3 –0.7
Gas 486 875 1 229 1 683 21 22 24 3.1 2.5
Nuclear 525 714 810 861 17 15 12 1.2 0.7
Hydro 185 242 317 408 6 6 6 2.5 2.0
Biomass and waste 54 74 137 265 2 3 4 5.8 5.0
Other renewables
Other transformation,
32 49 113 236 1 2 3 7.8 6.2
own use and losses 878 1 064 1 313 1 583 100 100 100 1.9 1.5
of which electricity 189 263 368 486 25 28 31 3.1 2.4
Total final consumption 6 154 7 639 9 562 11 664 100 100 100 2.1 1.6
Coal 765 641 823 923 8 9 8 2.3 1.4
Oil 2 543 3 228 3 965 4 786 42 41 41 1.9 1.5
Gas 1 004 1 219 1 516 1 839 16 16 16 2.0 1.6
Electricity 826 1 236 1 765 2 416 16 18 21 3.3 2.6
Heat 177 255 287 324 3 3 3 1.1 0.9
Biomass and waste 815 1 052 1 182 1 317 14 12 11 1.1 0.9
Other renewables 24 7 23 60 0 0 1 11.2 8.4
Industry 2 134 2 511 3 283 3 932 100 100 100 2.5 1.7
Coal 470 499 686 798 20 21 20 2.9 1.8
Oil 550 665 820 909 26 25 23 1.9 1.2
Gas 551 564 724 890 22 22 23 2.3 1.8
Electricity 382 512 729 940 20 22 24 3.3 2.4
Heat 72 100 109 116 4 3 3 0.8 0.6
Biomass and waste 109 169 212 275 7 6 7 2.1 1.9
Other renewables 0 1 1 4 0 0 0 5.8 7.4
Transport 1 435 1 969 2 454 3 111 100 100 100 2.0 1.8
Oil 1 370 1 861 2 286 2 884 94 93 93 1.9 1.7
Biofuels 6 15 54 92 1 2 3 12.1 7.1
Other fuels
Residential, services
59 93 114 135 5 5 4 1.8 1.4
and agriculture 2 339 2 905 3 497 4 221 100 100 100 1.7 1.4
Coal 240 106 98 90 4 3 2 –0.7 –0.6
Oil 450 499 592 664 17 17 16 1.6 1.1
Gas 422 586 709 849 20 20 20 1.7 1.4
Electricity 421 689 987 1 409 24 28 33 3.3 2.8
Heat 105 154 177 207 5 5 5 1.3 1.1
Biomass and waste 696 864 911 946 30 26 22 0.5 0.3
Other renewables 4 7 22 56 0 1 1 11.5 8.5
Non-energy use 246 254 329 400 100 100 100 2.4 1.8
492 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007