World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: OECD
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 4 518 5 502 6 128 6 359 1.0 0.6 –2.1 –7.3
Coal 1 063 1 129 1 173 985 0.4 –0.5 –4.7 –24.4
Oil 1 894 2 236 2 383 2 345 0.6 0.2 –3.4 –9.5
Gas 844 1 199 1 372 1 471 1.2 0.8 –4.0 –10.8
Nuclear 449 604 676 754 1.0 0.9 4.8 21.4
Hydro 101 109 123 135 1.1 0.8 1.2 3.4
Biomass and waste 140 187 308 451 4.6 3.4 10.5 16.9
Other renewables
Power generation
28 37 94 219 8.8 7.0 7.6 20.6
and heat plants 1 701 2 197 2 498 2 579 1.2 0.6 –2.0 –8.6
Coal 750 906 978 818 0.7 –0.4 –5.0 –26.9
Oil 148 115 102 58 –1.1 –2.6 –4.7 –11.9
Gas 175 371 450 494 1.8 1.1 –6.7 –16.7
Nuclear 449 604 676 754 1.0 0.9 4.8 21.4
Hydro 101 109 123 135 1.1 0.8 1.2 3.4
Biomass and waste 52 61 96 153 4.3 3.6 5.5 4.0
Other renewables
Other transformation,
25 31 73 167 8.2 6.7 1.6 16.3
own use and losses 381 416 435 451 0.4 0.3 –2.6 –7.1
of which electricity 105 118 131 135 0.9 0.5 –3.9 –11.4
Total final consumption 3 135 3 826 4 283 4 528 1.0 0.7 –2.5 –7.4
Coal 229 134 116 100 –1.2 –1.1 –3.2 –7.9
Oil 1 638 2 000 2 165 2 172 0.7 0.3 –3.5 –9.8
Gas 591 747 821 852 0.9 0.5 –2.6 –7.7
Electricity 547 753 879 974 1.4 1.0 –3.8 –11.0
Heat 40 59 70 82 1.5 1.3 –0.9 –1.7
Biomass and waste 87 127 211 298 4.8 3.3 13.0 25.0
Other renewables 3 6 21 51 11.5 8.4 36.6 37.7
Industry 1 015 1 152 1 264 1 302 0.8 0.5 –2.6 –6.5
Coal 159 115 104 92 –0.9 –0.8 –3.4 –8.2
Oil 323 376 422 413 1.1 0.4 –2.0 –4.7
Gas 261 310 331 341 0.6 0.4 –3.2 –7.6
Electricity 223 269 298 318 0.9 0.6 –3.7 –9.4
Heat 14 17 20 22 1.4 1.0 –2.6 –4.9
Biomass and waste 35 64 87 112 2.9 2.2 2.7 –0.3
Other renewables 0 1 1 4 4.8 8.0 6.2 26.7
Transport 986 1 283 1 439 1 514 1.0 0.6 –3.1 –8.8
Oil 960 1 244 1 352 1 388 0.8 0.4 –4.2 –11.6
Biofuels 0 9 52 84 17.3 9.0 32.5 62.8
Other fuels
Residential, services
26 30 35 42 1.4 1.4 5.0 11.3
and agriculture 1 036 1 273 1 448 1 572 1.2 0.8 –1.9 –6.9
Coal 68 17 11 6 –4.2 –3.7 –1.2 –5.4
Oil 259 263 259 234 –0.1 –0.4 –2.5 –8.7
Gas 311 416 467 483 1.0 0.6 –2.5 –8.6
Electricity 316 475 569 640 1.7 1.2 –4.0 –12.1
Heat 27 42 50 60 1.6 1.4 –0.2 –0.4
Biomass and waste 52 54 72 102 2.7 2.5 14.9 36.9
Other renewables 3 6 20 47 12.0 8.4 38.6 38.8
Non-energy use 98 119 133 139 1.0 0.6 –3.0 –7.3
530 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007