World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: Africa
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 316 534 807 1 351 100 100 100 3.8 3.6
Coal 165 244 287 397 46 36 29 1.5 1.9
Oil 42 58 47 39 11 6 3 –1.9 –1.4
Gas 43 130 314 592 24 39 44 8.4 6.0
Nuclear 8 13 15 15 2 2 1 0.9 0.4
Hydro 56 88 122 232 16 15 17 3.1 3.8
Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 2 22 76 0 3 6 24.7 15.3
Biomass and waste 0 0 14 46 0 2 3 41.3 21.3
Wind 0 1 5 16 0 1 1 18.8 12.3
Geothermal 0 1 3 9 0 0 1 11.7 9.7
Solar 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 14.6 30.7
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 112 172 294 100 100 100 4.0 3.8
Coal 39 50 69 35 29 23 2.2 2.2
Oil 19 22 20 17 13 7 1.0 0.2
Gas 32 67 134 28 39 45 7.1 5.7
Nuclear 2 2 2 2 1 1 0.0 0.0
Hydro 20 28 53 18 16 18 3.1 3.8
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 4 17 0 3 6 23.6 15.2
Biomass and waste 0 2 7 0 1 2 41.2 21.1
Wind 0 2 5 0 1 2 19.6 12.7
Geothermal 0 0 1 0 0 0 11.7 9.6
Solar 0 0 3 0 0 1 0.0 23.2
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 550 815 1 063 1 447 100 100 100 2.4 2.2
Coal 235 316 350 419 39 33 29 0.9 1.1
Oil 249 354 436 595 43 41 41 1.9 2.0
Gas
Power generation
65 144 277 433 18 26 30 6.1 4.3
and heat plants 214 350 465 649 100 100 100 2.6 2.4
Coal 152 229 260 328 65 56 50 1.2 1.4
Oil 35 47 37 29 13 8 5 –2.2 –1.8
Gas 26 74 167 292 21 36 45 7.7 5.4
Total final consumption 304 422 542 733 100 100 100 2.3 2.1
Coal 83 87 90 91 21 17 12 0.3 0.2
Oil 202 292 390 557 69 72 76 2.7 2.5
of which transport 104 174 232 369 41 43 50 2.7 2.9
Gas 19 42 62 85 10 12 12 3.6 2.7
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 527
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A