World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: Latin America
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 491 874 1 304 1 983 100 100 100 3.7 3.2
Coal 15 30 43 77 3 3 4 3.1 3.6
Oil 41 83 76 44 9 6 2 –0.8 –2.4
Gas 55 131 308 655 15 24 33 8.1 6.4
Nuclear 10 19 37 34 2 3 2 6.0 2.2
Hydro 364 589 799 1 084 67 61 55 2.8 2.4
Renewables (excluding hydro) 7 21 40 89 2 3 4 6.0 5.7
Biomass and waste 7 18 28 51 2 2 3 3.8 4.0
Wind 0 0 8 22 0 1 1 31.0 16.4
Geothermal 1 2 4 12 0 0 1 5.3 6.5
Solar 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 – –
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 206 331 504 100 100 100 4.4 3.5
Coal 5 8 13 3 2 3 3.7 3.4
Oil 28 29 19 14 9 4 0.2 –1.5
Gas 38 107 212 18 32 42 10.0 6.9
Nuclear 3 5 4 1 1 1 4.9 1.8
Hydro 128 174 236 62 53 47 2.8 2.4
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 4 8 20 2 2 4 7.3 6.7
Biomass and waste 3 4 8 2 1 2 3.4 3.7
Wind 0 3 7 0 1 1 26.8 14.7
Geothermal 0 1 2 0 0 0 5.4 6.5
Solar 0 0 3 0 0 1 – –
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 602 907 1 151 1 551 100 100 100 2.2 2.1
Coal 57 85 103 139 9 9 9 1.7 1.9
Oil 426 601 707 873 66 61 56 1.5 1.4
Gas
Power generation
119 221 341 539 24 30 35 4.0 3.5
and heat plants 98 176 247 374 100 100 100 3.2 2.9
Coal 21 35 44 67 20 18 18 2.2 2.6
Oil 45 77 62 33 44 25 9 –2.0 –3.2
Gas 32 64 142 273 36 57 73 7.5 5.7
Total final consumption 439 656 815 1 067 100 100 100 2.0 1.9
Coal 32 47 55 67 7 7 6 1.4 1.4
Oil 350 489 605 790 75 74 74 2.0 1.9
of which transport 200 301 361 479 46 44 45 1.7 1.8
Gas 56 119 155 209 18 19 20 2.4 2.2
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 521
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A