World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: China
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 650 2 237 4 942 7 624 100 100 100 7.5 4.8
Coal 471 1 739 3 966 5 980 78 80 78 7.8 4.9
Oil 49 72 64 54 3 1 1 –1.1 –1.1
Gas 3 19 83 169 1 2 2 14.0 8.7
Nuclear 0 50 124 256 2 3 3 8.5 6.4
Hydro 127 354 650 937 16 13 12 5.7 3.8
Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 2 56 228 0 1 3 32.7 19.0
Biomass and waste 0 2 33 93 0 1 1 26.4 14.9
Wind 0 0 21 121 0 0 2 – –
Geothermal 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 – –
Solar 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 – –
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 442 960 1 496 100 100 100 7.3 4.8
Coal 307 688 1 041 69 72 70 7.6 4.8
Oil 16 19 16 4 2 1 2.1 0.2
Gas 8 29 62 2 3 4 13.2 8.5
Nuclear 6 15 31 1 2 2 8.6 6.5
Hydro 105 195 281 24 20 19 5.8 3.9
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 1 13 65 0 1 4 23.9 16.4
Biomass and waste 0 5 15 0 1 1 26.5 14.7
Wind 1 7 45 0 1 3 22.9 16.9
Geothermal 0 0 1 0 0 0 – –
Solar 0 0 5 0 0 0 0.0 17.8
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 2 289 4 769 7 744 10 425 100 100 100 4.5 3.1
Coal 1 952 3 897 6 336 8 167 82 82 78 4.5 2.9
Oil 304 779 1 219 1 924 16 16 18 4.2 3.5
Gas
Power generation
32 93 190 334 2 2 3 6.7 5.1
and heat plants 623 2 355 4 100 5 603 100 100 100 5.2 3.4
Coal 568 2 269 3 981 5 450 96 97 97 5.2 3.4
Oil 52 72 68 56 3 2 1 –0.4 –0.9
Gas 3 14 50 97 1 1 2 12.1 7.7
Total final consumption 1 579 2 211 3 375 4 494 100 100 100 3.9 2.8
Coal 1 332 1 509 2 212 2 554 68 66 57 3.5 2.0
Oil 225 640 1 055 1 750 29 31 39 4.6 3.9
of which transport 83 290 522 1 108 13 15 25 5.5 5.3
Gas 22 61 109 190 3 3 4 5.4 4.5
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 517
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A