World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: OECD Europe
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 2 632 3 429 4 082 4 860 100 100 100 1.6 1.3
Coal 1 016 994 1 090 1 326 29 27 27 0.8 1.1
Oil 203 132 126 59 4 3 1 –0.4 –3.1
Gas 167 663 943 1 423 19 23 29 3.3 3.0
Nuclear 782 992 907 574 29 22 12 –0.8 –2.1
Hydro 443 488 587 651 14 14 13 1.7 1.1
Renewables (excluding hydro) 20 159 429 828 5 10 17 9.4 6.5
Biomass and waste 15 92 150 216 3 4 4 4.6 3.4
Wind 1 59 257 535 2 6 11 14.3 8.8
Geothermal 4 7 10 18 0 0 0 3.6 3.6
Solar 0 1 10 50 0 0 1 25.0 17.0
Tide and wave 1 1 1 9 0 0 0 9.2 11.5
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 794 982 1 287 100 100 100 2.0 1.9
Coal 197 202 260 25 21 20 0.2 1.1
Oil 69 66 27 9 7 2 –0.4 –3.6
Gas 158 249 404 20 25 31 4.2 3.7
Nuclear 132 116 74 17 12 6 –1.2 –2.2
Hydro 185 207 225 23 21 18 1.0 0.8
of which pumped storage 31 31 31 4 3 2 0.0 0.0
Renewables (excluding hydro) 53 142 296 7 14 23 9.3 6.8
Biomass and waste 16 26 37 2 3 3 4.3 3.2
Wind 35 107 220 4 11 17 10.8 7.4
Geothermal 1 1 2 0 0 0 3.8 3.7
Solar 1 7 35 0 1 3 18.1 13.9
Tide and wave 0 0 2 0 0 0 4.3 9.1
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 3 934 4 078 4 375 4 651 100 100 100 0.6 0.5
Coal 1 700 1 282 1 264 1 321 31 29 28 –0.1 0.1
Oil 1 660 1 787 1 891 1 864 44 43 40 0.5 0.2
Gas
Power generation
574 1 009 1 219 1 466 25 28 32 1.7 1.4
and heat plants 1 376 1 409 1 562 1 759 100 100 100 0.9 0.9
Coal 1 130 1 003 1 043 1 141 71 67 65 0.4 0.5
Oil 152 100 94 43 7 6 2 –0.5 –3.2
Gas 93 306 425 575 22 27 33 3.0 2.5
Total final consumption 2 384 2 478 2 624 2 705 100 100 100 0.5 0.3
Coal 532 247 196 161 10 7 6 –2.1 –1.6
Oil 1 395 1 563 1 674 1 697 63 64 63 0.6 0.3
of which transport 784 976 1 048 1 111 39 40 41 0.6 0.5
Gas 458 668 755 847 27 29 31 1.1 0.9
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 505
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A