World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Brazil
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 131 200 252 311 2.1 1.7 –5.0 –11.0
Coal 10 14 13 15 –0.6 0.2 –12.1 –17.8
Oil 58 85 101 119 1.6 1.3 –7.1 –16.2
Gas 3 16 26 35 4.6 3.1 –0.2 –15.0
Nuclear 1 3 6 9 6.9 4.2 – 40.9
Hydro 18 28 36 41 2.4 1.6 –6.1 –17.5
Biomass and waste 42 54 69 89 2.2 1.9 –1.9 –1.2
Other renewables
Power generation
0 0 1 3 52.1 27.8 15.3 63.7
and heat plants 22 43 57 68 2.7 1.8 –6.0 –15.2
Coal 1 3 1 1 –10.4 –6.1 –57.3 –67.8
Oil 1 3 1 1 –6.7 –3.5 –47.2 –60.8
Gas 0 4 8 9 7.3 3.1 8.9 –31.5
Nuclear 1 3 6 9 6.9 4.2 – 40.9
Hydro 18 28 36 41 2.4 1.6 –6.1 –17.5
Biomass and waste 1 2 4 6 4.8 3.4 6.2 3.8
Other renewables
Other transformation,
0 0 0 2 44.6 24.8 – 54.1
own use and losses 18 23 28 33 1.7 1.4 –4.5 –11.3
of which electricity 3 7 8 9 1.8 1.1 –5.0 –14.3
Total final consumption 112 171 214 266 2.1 1.7 –5.0 –10.7
Coal 4 7 8 9 1.2 1.2 –5.2 –12.1
Oil 53 78 94 111 1.7 1.4 –6.2 –15.3
Gas 2 9 13 20 3.7 3.2 –3.3 –6.5
Electricity 18 30 39 47 2.5 1.8 –6.1 –15.1
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 35 47 60 76 2.2 1.9 –2.6 –1.6
Other renewables 0 0 0 1 – – 45.4 76.3
Industry 48 77 94 112 1.9 1.5 –4.7 –10.0
Coal 4 7 8 9 1.2 1.2 –5.2 –12.2
Oil 14 18 22 25 1.8 1.3 –4.1 –10.8
Gas 2 7 10 16 3.4 3.1 –3.7 –7.7
Electricity 10 15 18 23 2.0 1.6 –5.6 –13.9
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 19 30 35 39 1.6 1.1 –4.8 –7.3
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Transport 32 52 66 91 2.3 2.2 –5.8 –12.2
Oil 27 44 53 64 1.7 1.5 –8.0 –19.1
Biofuels 6 6 11 23 5.1 5.1 5.4 13.2
Other fuels
Residential, services
0 1 2 4 4.8 3.7 –2.2 –2.4
and agriculture 29 38 50 57 2.4 1.5 –4.5 –10.1
Coal 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Oil 9 12 15 16 1.8 1.2 –3.8 –8.5
Gas 0 0 1 1 3.0 2.4 – –
Electricity 8 15 21 25 3.1 1.9 –6.6 –16.2
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 11 11 13 14 1.9 1.0 –2.7 –5.4
Other renewables 0 0 0 1 – – 47.5 76.9
Non-energy use 3 4 5 6 1.3 1.2 –2.7 –6.3
558 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007