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World Energy Outlook 2006

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Alternative Policy Scenario: OECD North America<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)<br />

1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030<br />

2015 2030<br />

Total primary energy supply 2 256 2 756 3 102 3 285 1.1 0.7 –2.6 –8.1<br />

Coal 486 581 641 598 0.9 0.1 –4.3 –19.3<br />

Oil 927 1 137 1 249 1 271 0.9 0.4 –3.4 –10.2<br />

Gas 517 637 721 757 1.1 0.7 –2.6 –8.1<br />

Nuclear 179 238 254 310 0.6 1.0 – 12.7<br />

Hydro 51 55 59 63 0.6 0.5 0.3 2.9<br />

Biomass and waste 78 91 140 196 4.0 3.0 5.3 7.9<br />

Other renewables<br />

Power generation<br />

19 17 39 89 7.7 6.5 6.2 15.7<br />

and heat plants 845 1 086 1 238 1 322 1.2 0.8 –2.7 –8.8<br />

Coal 413 524 590 553 1.1 0.2 –4.4 –20.0<br />

Oil 47 54 51 36 –0.5 –1.6 –1.5 –7.8<br />

Gas 95 173 212 222 1.9 1.0 –2.9 –10.5<br />

Nuclear 179 238 254 310 0.6 1.0 – 12.7<br />

Hydro 51 55 59 63 0.6 0.5 0.3 2.9<br />

Biomass and waste 41 27 40 68 3.8 3.7 –0.1 –5.6<br />

Other renewables<br />

Other transformation,<br />

19 15 31 69 6.9 6.1 –0.7 12.3<br />

own use and losses 190 197 214 236 0.7 0.7 –2.3 –6.4<br />

of which electricity 56 56 64 69 1.2 0.8 –2.9 –9.2<br />

Total final consumption 1 552 1 906 2 160 2 301 1.1 0.7 –2.6 –8.2<br />

Coal 59 39 34 29 –1.3 –1.1 –3.0 –6.5<br />

Oil 822 1 025 1 144 1 183 1.0 0.6 –3.6 –10.6<br />

Gas 360 402 431 437 0.6 0.3 –2.5 –7.3<br />

Electricity 271 371 437 497 1.5 1.1 –2.9 –9.3<br />

Heat 3 4 6 7 3.6 2.1 –3.0 –5.9<br />

Biomass and waste 37 64 100 128 4.1 2.7 7.7 16.9<br />

Other renewables 0 2 8 20 12.2 8.7 45.2 29.6<br />

Industry 448 511 556 576 0.8 0.5 –2.9 –7.0<br />

Coal 49 36 32 28 –1.1 –0.9 –3.2 –6.9<br />

Oil 131 153 177 178 1.3 0.6 –2.2 –5.0<br />

Gas 157 171 175 175 0.2 0.1 –3.5 –8.9<br />

Electricity 94 107 117 129 0.8 0.7 –3.0 –8.2<br />

Heat 1 3 5 6 3.6 2.0 –3.5 –7.2<br />

Biomass and waste 16 40 51 60 2.3 1.6 –2.3 –4.9<br />

Other renewables 0 0 0 0 4.0 3.1 – –<br />

Transport 575 738 844 896 1.2 0.7 –3.1 –10.1<br />

Oil 556 713 796 830 1.0 0.6 –4.2 –12.8<br />

Biofuels 0 7 29 46 13.8 7.5 40.4 89.2<br />

Other fuels<br />

Residential, services<br />

19 19 19 20 0.4 0.3 1.2 1.3<br />

and agriculture 477 588 679 743 1.3 0.9 –1.8 –7.0<br />

Coal 10 3 2 1 –3.9 –4.1 0.8 4.1<br />

Oil 83 90 91 89 0.1 0.0 –0.9 –3.4<br />

Gas 185 212 238 242 1.0 0.5 –2.0 –6.7<br />

Electricity 176 263 319 368 1.8 1.3 –2.9 –9.7<br />

Heat 2 1 1 1 4.1 2.9 –0.0 –0.0<br />

Biomass and waste 21 17 20 22 1.2 1.0 –0.0 –0.0<br />

Other renewables 0 2 8 20 12.5 8.8 46.8 30.1<br />

Non-energy use 52 69 81 86 1.4 0.8 –2.6 –6.0<br />

532 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2006</strong><br />

© OECD/IEA, 2007

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