World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Middle East
Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation 240 588 933 1 333 4.3 3.2 –4.4 –11.3
Coal 10 37 33 46 –1.1 0.8 –41.5 –44.8
Oil 117 218 285 310 2.5 1.4 –1.3 –3.4
Gas 101 317 568 891 5.4 4.1 –3.1 –13.3
Nuclear 0 0 7 7 – – – –
Hydro 12 17 35 45 7.1 3.9 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 0 6 34 53.9 28.7 67.6 84.0
Biomass and waste 0 0 3 13 – – 5.2 38.4
Wind 0 0 3 12 61.8 29.6 317.0 130.0
Geothermal 0 0 0 0 – – – 15.3
Solar 0 0 0 10 0.0 24.3 – 124.6
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 – – – 500.0
Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total capacity 182 288 418 4.3 3.3 –4.0 –9.8
Coal 5 7 10 3.0 2.6 –6.2 –12.9
Oil 79 101 112 2.2 1.3 –2.9 –8.8
Gas 89 162 265 5.6 4.3 –5.4 –12.8
Nuclear 0 1 1 – – – –
Hydro 9 16 20 5.0 3.0 – –
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 – – – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 1 11 42.2 25.9 139.2 108.2
Biomass and waste 0 0 2 44.1 23.7 14.2 41.6
Wind 0 1 4 51.7 26.1 416.7 137.2
Geothermal 0 0 0 – – – 15.3
Solar 0 0 5 0.0 26.9 – 126.4
Tide and wave 0 0 0 – – – 531.6
CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 602 1 183 1 699 2 060 3.3 2.2 –7.7 –16.2
Coal 12 36 35 43 –0.3 0.7 –36.2 –43.2
Oil 413 690 975 1 099 3.2 1.8 –3.9 –7.4
Gas
Power generation
177 458 690 918 3.8 2.7 –10.6 –23.3
and heat plants 172 407 540 659 2.6 1.9 –17.9 –32.3
Coal 9 31 27 36 –1.4 0.5 –41.5 –45.0
Oil 92 169 206 213 1.8 0.9 –12.9 –20.5
Gas 71 207 308 411 3.7 2.7 –18.1 –35.9
Total final consumption 381 676 1 026 1 232 3.9 2.3 –2.1 –6.0
Coal 2 4 8 7 5.6 2.0 –7.0 –31.9
Oil 294 483 712 816 3.6 2.0 –1.2 –3.6
of which transport 145 264 395 437 3.7 2.0 –0.3 –0.6
Gas 85 189 307 408 4.5 3.0 –3.8 –9.9
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 561
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A