World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Russia
Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation n.a. 926 1 067 1 256 1.3 1.2 –3.4 –5.1
Coal n.a. 161 178 150 1.0 –0.3 –2.3 –13.1
Oil n.a. 24 20 13 –1.4 –2.2 –4.1 –3.3
Gas n.a. 419 490 544 1.4 1.0 –6.8 –15.2
Nuclear n.a. 145 176 297 1.8 2.8 – 13.5
Hydro n.a. 176 188 210 0.6 0.7 – 5.1
Renewables (excluding hydro) n.a. 2 14 42 18.1 12.0 32.9 22.0
Biomass and waste n.a. 2 5 16 9.4 8.8 169.2 20.4
Wind n.a. 0 5 17 82.2 35.0 7.4 38.9
Geothermal n.a. 0 4 9 22.6 12.4 – –
Solar n.a. 0 0 0 – – – –
Tide and wave n.a. 0 0 0 – – – –
Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total capacity 220 234 270 0.6 0.8 –3.4 –5.7
Coal 48 45 40 –0.7 –0.7 –2.5 –13.1
Oil 9 9 6 0.3 –1.5 – –
Gas 94 104 120 0.9 0.9 –6.9 –14.2
Nuclear 22 24 40 0.8 2.4 – 13.5
Hydro 46 49 55 0.5 0.7 – 5.2
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 – – – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 1 3 10 17.7 11.8 21.4 26.9
Biomass and waste 0 1 3 6.7 7.0 103.5 18.8
Wind 0 2 6 58.4 27.3 5.6 40.7
Geothermal 0 1 1 21.6 12.0 – –3.0
Solar 0 0 0 – – – –
Tide and wave 0 0 0 – – – –
CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions n.a. 1 512 1 661 1 685 0.9 0.4 –4.9 –10.5
Coal n.a. 418 449 403 0.7 –0.1 –1.7 –3.0
Oil n.a. 323 343 358 0.6 0.4 –7.2 –11.8
Gas
Power generation
n.a. 772 869 925 1.1 0.7 –5.5 –13.0
and heat plants n.a. 853 895 837 0.4 –0.1 –4.4 –11.2
Coal n.a. 325 347 301 0.6 –0.3 –0.7 –0.7
Oil n.a. 59 51 38 –1.2 –1.7 –1.9 –0.6
Gas n.a. 469 496 498 0.5 0.2 –7.1 –17.2
Total final consumption n.a. 597 693 761 1.4 0.9 –5.5 –9.9
Coal n.a. 90 100 100 0.9 0.4 –5.0 –9.4
Oil n.a. 227 249 266 0.8 0.6 –8.4 –13.4
of which transport n.a. 128 145 159 1.1 0.8 –10.0 –14.8
Gas n.a. 279 345 396 1.9 1.4 –3.4 –7.5
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 547
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A