World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: European Union
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 2 444 3 154 3 673 4 303 100 100 100 1.4 1.2
Coal 1 012 975 1 015 1 165 31 28 27 0.4 0.7
Oil 205 131 126 56 4 3 1 –0.4 –3.2
Gas 159 605 868 1 332 19 24 31 3.3 3.1
Nuclear 778 988 885 564 31 24 13 –1.0 –2.1
Hydro 271 300 359 385 10 10 9 1.6 1.0
Renewables (excluding hydro) 19 156 419 802 5 11 19 9.4 6.5
Biomass and waste 14 90 145 201 3 4 5 4.4 3.2
Wind 1 59 255 529 2 7 12 14.3 8.8
Geothermal 3 6 8 13 0 0 0 3.2 3.5
Solar 0 1 10 50 0 0 1 20.0 14.9
Tide and wave 1 1 1 9 0 0 0 9.2 11.5
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 723 886 1 158 100 100 100 1.9 1.8
Coal 191 186 226 26 21 20 –0.2 0.6
Oil 71 68 29 10 8 2 –0.5 –3.4
Gas 146 234 388 20 26 33 4.4 3.8
Nuclear 131 114 74 18 13 6 –1.3 –2.2
Hydro 131 143 151 18 16 13 0.8 0.5
of which pumped storage 28 28 28 4 3 2 0.0 0.0
Renewables (excluding hydro) 52 140 291 7 16 25 9.4 6.8
Biomass and waste 16 25 35 2 3 3 4.2 3.1
Wind 34 106 217 5 12 19 10.8 7.3
Geothermal 1 1 2 0 0 0 3.3 3.5
Solar 1 7 34 0 1 3 18.5 14.0
Tide and wave 0 0 2 0 0 0 4.3 9.1
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 3 808 3 847 4 048 4 216 100 100 100 0.5 0.4
Coal 1 666 1 211 1 136 1 124 31 28 27 –0.6 –0.3
Oil 1 571 1 675 1 759 1 715 44 43 41 0.4 0.1
Gas
Power generation
571 962 1 152 1 377 25 28 33 1.7 1.4
and heat plants 1 382 1 366 1 470 1 593 100 100 100 0.7 0.6
Coal 1 128 980 974 1 007 72 66 63 –0.1 0.1
Oil 158 100 96 42 7 7 3 –0.4 –3.3
Gas 94 285 400 544 21 27 34 3.1 2.5
Total final consumption 2 264 2 306 2 409 2 460 100 100 100 0.4 0.2
Coal 500 201 138 100 9 6 4 –3.3 –2.7
Oil 1 304 1 457 1 548 1 559 63 64 63 0.6 0.3
of which transport 741 924 985 1 038 40 41 42 0.6 0.4
Gas 458 649 723 802 28 30 33 1.0 0.8
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 507
© OECD/IEA, 2007
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