World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: United States
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 3 203 4 148 4 951 5 913 100 100 100 1.6 1.4
Coal 1 700 2 090 2 529 3 128 50 51 53 1.7 1.6
Oil 131 139 138 100 3 3 2 0.0 –1.3
Gas 382 732 914 954 18 18 16 2.0 1.0
Nuclear 611 813 849 933 20 17 16 0.4 0.5
Hydro 273 271 291 297 7 6 5 0.6 0.3
Renewables (excluding hydro) 106 102 229 502 2 5 8 7.6 6.3
Biomass and waste 86 72 112 204 2 2 3 4.2 4.1
Wind 3 14 77 219 0 2 4 16.5 11.1
Geothermal 16 15 30 49 0 1 1 6.1 4.5
Solar 1 1 10 29 0 0 0 29.8 16.2
Tide and wave 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 – –
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 995 1 166 1 431 100 100 100 1.5 1.4
Coal 334 397 504 34 34 35 1.6 1.6
Oil 74 76 54 7 6 4 0.2 –1.2
Gas 373 440 529 38 38 37 1.5 1.4
Nuclear 98 101 111 10 9 8 0.3 0.5
Hydro 97 99 100 10 8 7 0.2 0.1
of which pumped storage 20 20 20 2 2 1 0.0 0.0
Renewables (excluding hydro) 19 53 132 2 5 9 9.7 7.7
Biomass and waste 10 16 30 1 1 2 4.6 4.5
Wind 7 27 77 1 2 5 13.3 9.8
Geothermal 2 4 7 0 0 0 5.7 4.3
Solar 0 6 17 0 1 1 26.2 14.7
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 11.3
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 4 832 5 769 6 573 7 138 100 100 100 1.2 0.8
Coal 1 774 2 110 2 421 2 702 37 37 38 1.3 1.0
Oil 2 047 2 448 2 798 3 044 42 43 43 1.2 0.8
Gas
Power generation
1 011 1 212 1 353 1 392 21 21 19 1.0 0.5
and heat plants 1 829 2 403 2 784 3 039 100 100 100 1.3 0.9
Coal 1 532 1 949 2 273 2 567 81 82 84 1.4 1.1
Oil 88 110 107 76 5 4 3 –0.3 –1.4
Gas 210 344 404 396 14 14 13 1.5 0.5
Total final consumption 2 731 3 101 3 517 3 812 100 100 100 1.1 0.8
Coal 239 146 132 119 5 4 3 –0.9 –0.8
Oil 1 795 2 184 2 539 2 814 70 72 74 1.4 1.0
of which transport 1 381 1 759 2 074 2 334 57 59 61 1.5 1.1
Gas 697 771 846 880 25 24 23 0.8 0.5
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 499
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A