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World Energy Outlook 2006

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Alternative Policy Scenario: India<br />

Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)<br />

1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030<br />

2015 2030<br />

Total generation 289 668 1 163 2 041 5.2 4.4 –5.1 –11.8<br />

Coal 189 461 765 1 242 4.7 3.9 –8.4 –23.8<br />

Oil 13 36 49 46 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0<br />

Gas 10 63 96 151 3.9 3.4 –2.2 –7.5<br />

Nuclear 6 17 75 186 14.4 9.6 5.3 33.1<br />

Hydro 72 85 145 296 5.0 4.9 5.5 20.3<br />

Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 6 32 120 16.9 12.5 –5.2 35.3<br />

Biomass and waste 0 2 10 40 16.5 12.4 –31.7 18.9<br />

Wind 0 4 21 70 17.0 11.9 16.7 41.9<br />

Geothermal 0 0 0 1 – – – –<br />

Solar 0 0 0 9 23.4 34.6 – 83.7<br />

Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 – – – 250.0<br />

Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)<br />

2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030<br />

2015 2030<br />

Total capacity 131 221 409 4.8 4.5 –3.4 –6.2<br />

Coal 72 117 191 4.5 3.8 –8.4 –23.8<br />

Oil 8 11 10 2.5 0.9 – –<br />

Gas 14 22 39 4.4 4.1 –2.9 –8.1<br />

Nuclear 3 10 25 13.2 9.2 5.3 33.1<br />

Hydro 31 51 105 4.6 4.7 5.8 20.2<br />

of which pumped storage 0 0 0 – – – –<br />

Renewables (excluding hydro) 3 10 39 10.1 9.9 3.9 46.1<br />

Biomass and waste 0 2 6 15.8 12.1 –31.4 18.9<br />

Wind 3 8 27 9.2 8.9 15.9 48.1<br />

Geothermal 0 0 0 – – – –<br />

Solar 0 0 5 0.0 22.7 – 85.1<br />

Tide and wave 0 0 0 – – – 250.0<br />

CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)<br />

1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030<br />

2015 2030<br />

Total CO2 emissions 588 1 103 1 502 1 999 2.8 2.3 –7.3 –21.4<br />

Coal 401 734 981 1 286 2.7 2.2 –8.9 –26.1<br />

Oil 164 314 431 568 2.9 2.3 –4.4 –12.0<br />

Gas<br />

Power generation<br />

23 54 90 145 4.7 3.9 –2.2 –7.8<br />

and heat plants 245 629 847 1 167 2.7 2.4 –6.6 –21.7<br />

Coal 225 572 767 1 067 2.7 2.4 –7.1 –22.8<br />

Oil 11 26 35 33 2.5 0.8 –0.1 –0.1<br />

Gas 8 30 45 68 3.8 3.2 –2.3 –9.7<br />

Total final consumption 328 441 615 789 3.1 2.3 –8.4 –21.5<br />

Coal 171 160 212 217 2.6 1.2 –14.8 –39.0<br />

Oil 144 261 364 503 3.1 2.6 –4.8 –12.5<br />

of which transport 72 98 130 186 2.6 2.5 –3.7 –12.2<br />

Gas 13 19 39 69 6.6 5.0 –2.2 –6.8<br />

Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 555<br />

© OECD/IEA, 2007<br />

A

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