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World Energy Outlook 2006

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Reference Scenario: Developing Asia<br />

Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)<br />

1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-<br />

2015 2030<br />

Total generation 1 274 3 758 7 663 12 165 100 100 100 6.7 4.6<br />

Coal 727 2 442 5 273 8 423 65 69 69 7.2 4.9<br />

Oil 166 222 258 211 6 3 2 1.4 –0.2<br />

Gas 59 406 747 1 113 11 10 9 5.7 4.0<br />

Nuclear 39 110 263 467 3 3 4 8.3 5.7<br />

Hydro 277 545 972 1 467 15 13 12 5.4 3.9<br />

Renewables (excluding hydro) 7 33 150 484 1 2 4 14.7 10.9<br />

Biomass and waste 0 10 69 192 0 1 2 18.7 11.8<br />

Wind 0 4 50 220 0 1 2 26.5 17.0<br />

Geothermal 7 17 29 48 0 0 0 5.1 4.1<br />

Solar 0 2 2 24 0 0 0 0.6 10.0<br />

Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –<br />

Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)<br />

2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-<br />

2015 2030<br />

Total capacity 789 1 567 2 513 100 100 100 6.4 4.6<br />

Coal 421 913 1 457 53 58 58 7.3 4.9<br />

Oil 62 72 61 8 5 2 1.4 –0.1<br />

Gas 107 209 342 14 13 14 6.3 4.6<br />

Nuclear 14 33 59 2 2 2 8.3 5.7<br />

Hydro 177 304 462 22 19 18 5.0 3.8<br />

of which pumped storage 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –<br />

Renewables (excluding hydro) 9 34 131 1 2 5 13.1 10.9<br />

Biomass and waste 2 11 30 0 1 1 18.5 11.6<br />

Wind 4 18 81 0 1 3 15.1 12.5<br />

Geothermal 3 4 7 0 0 0 5.2 4.1<br />

Solar 1 1 13 0 0 1 0.0 11.5<br />

Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –<br />

CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)<br />

1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-<br />

2015 2030<br />

Total CO2 emissions 3 563 7 265 11 341 15 653 100 100 100 4.1 3.0<br />

Coal 2 567 5 071 8 058 10 819 70 71 69 4.3 3.0<br />

Oil 850 1 746 2 530 3 694 24 22 24 3.4 2.9<br />

Gas<br />

Power generation<br />

146 448 753 1 140 6 7 7 4.8 3.7<br />

and heat plants 1 052 3 462 5 764 8 156 100 100 100 4.7 3.4<br />

Coal 868 3 083 5 221 7 484 89 91 92 4.9 3.5<br />

Oil 146 178 204 166 5 4 2 1.2 –0.3<br />

Gas 38 200 339 506 6 6 6 4.9 3.6<br />

Total final consumption 2 355 3 472 5 136 6 963 100 100 100 3.6 2.7<br />

Coal 1 642 1 866 2 691 3 168 54 52 45 3.4 2.1<br />

Oil 644 1 432 2 141 3 309 41 42 48 3.7 3.3<br />

of which transport 290 695 1 076 1 946 20 21 28 4.1 4.0<br />

Gas 69 174 304 486 5 6 7 5.2 4.0<br />

Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 515<br />

© OECD/IEA, 2007<br />

A

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