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World Energy Outlook 2006

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<strong>Outlook</strong> for <strong>Energy</strong> Demand<br />

Brazil’s energy mix has become more diversified over the past several decades.<br />

In 1980, biomass use accounted for 34% of total energy demand. Most of this<br />

was traditional use for cooking and heating in the residential sector. Total<br />

biomass use declined to 27% in 2004 (Figure 16.1). The use of biomass today<br />

is predominantly based on modern energy technologies, such as the<br />

production of ethanol from sugar cane, the cogeneration of electricity from<br />

sugar cane bagasse, the use of sawdust and black liquor (a by-product of the<br />

pulp and paper industries) and the production of charcoal from eucalyptus<br />

plantations by steelmakers. Fuelwood use for cooking and heating fell from 25<br />

Mtoe in 1971 to 11 Mtoe in 2004, though there are indications that high oil<br />

prices have recently reversed this trend. Poor households in the north and<br />

northeast, the least developed part of the country, still rely predominately on<br />

fuelwood to meet their cooking and heating needs.<br />

34%<br />

10%<br />

1980<br />

111 Mtoe<br />

1%<br />

Figure 16.1: Primary Fuel Mix, 1980 and 2004<br />

5%<br />

50%<br />

14%<br />

27%<br />

2004<br />

200 Mtoe<br />

454 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2006</strong> - FOCUS ON KEY TOPICS<br />

2%<br />

8%<br />

7%<br />

42%<br />

Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Biomass and waste<br />

The share of oil in total primary energy demand has declined since the 1980s.<br />

The share of natural gas has grown considerably, particularly in recent years,<br />

reaching 8% in 2004. Between 1999 and 2004, gas demand grew by over 20%<br />

per year – the result of a deliberate government policy to diversify energy sources.<br />

Gas-fired generation is used as a backup source of electricity, to stabilise seasonal<br />

changes in hydropower supply due to rainfall variations. Today, about 44% of

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