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estimates. Approximately three-quarters of the increase came from increases<br />

in the quantities of land, labour, material and equipment. The estimated<br />

and realised costs of these plants are shown in Table 13.11. In countries such<br />

as the United States, nuclear power will need to overcome this legacy of the<br />

past, rebuilding the confidence of investors that plants can be built on time<br />

and on budget.<br />

Table 13.11: Average Estimated and Realised Investment Costs of Nuclear<br />

Power Plants by Year of Construction Start, 1966-1977 ($2005 per kW)<br />

Year of Number Initial Realised<br />

construction start of plants estimate costs<br />

1966-1967 11 530 1 109<br />

1968-1969 26 643 1 062<br />

1970-1971 12 719 1 407<br />

1972-1973 7 1057 1 891<br />

1974-1975 14 1095 2 346<br />

1976-1977 5 1413 2 132<br />

Note: Original data expressed in $1982.<br />

Source: EIA/US DOE (1986).<br />

Operating Flexibility<br />

Because of their low marginal operating cost, nuclear plants are usually run<br />

as baseload units at high capacity factors. Nuclear power is competitive only<br />

when operated at high capacity factors. A change of the capacity factor from<br />

90% to 80% hardly affects the cost of CCGT-generated electricity, while<br />

nuclear costs increase by nearly one cent per kWh. 12<br />

Planning and Construction Time<br />

Nuclear power plants have long lead times, both in the planning and<br />

licensing phase and in the construction phase. Countries with the entire<br />

infrastructure in place can expect a total lead time, between the policy<br />

decision and commercial operation, of seven to 15 years. In countries with<br />

no previous experience in commercial use of nuclear power generation,<br />

developing the required institutional and regulatory framework and a skilled<br />

workforce generally requires longer lead times.<br />

Nuclear power plant construction times are much longer than those for CCGT<br />

plants (typically two to three years), wind power plants (one to two years) and,<br />

to a lesser extent, coal-fired plants (four years). In the past, disputes about plant<br />

12. Figure 6.8 in Chapter 6 shows the impact of the capacity factor on the generating costs of nuclear<br />

and other technologies.<br />

372 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2006</strong> - FOCUS ON KEY TOPICS<br />

© OECD/IEA, 2007

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