World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: OECD Europe
Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation 2 632 3 429 3 866 4 163 1.1 0.7 –5.3 –14.3
Coal 1 016 994 1 005 746 0.1 –1.1 –7.8 –43.8
Oil 203 132 121 58 –0.8 –3.1 –3.5 –0.7
Gas 167 663 685 931 0.3 1.3 –27.4 –34.6
Nuclear 782 992 1 017 832 0.2 –0.7 12.0 45.0
Hydro 443 488 600 676 1.9 1.3 2.2 3.8
Renewables (excluding hydro) 20 159 438 921 9.6 7.0 2.1 11.3
Biomass and waste 15 92 151 207 4.6 3.2 0.4 –4.0
Wind 1 59 262 596 14.5 9.3 2.2 11.4
Geothermal 4 7 11 21 3.9 4.3 2.7 19.0
Solar 0 1 12 78 27.4 19.0 22.8 55.8
Tide and wave 1 1 2 18 11.5 14.7 25.6 108.7
Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total capacity 794 926 1 115 1.4 1.3 –5.7 –13.4
Coal 197 162 126 –1.7 –1.7 –19.7 –51.3
Oil 69 66 27 –0.4 –3.6 – –
Gas 158 210 294 2.7 2.4 –15.5 –27.3
Nuclear 132 131 110 –0.1 –0.7 12.8 48.3
Hydro 185 211 232 1.2 0.9 1.7 3.1
of which pumped storage 31 31 31 0.0 0.0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 53 146 325 9.6 7.2 2.9 9.8
Biomass and waste 16 27 36 4.5 3.1 1.8 –3.3
Wind 35 109 227 11.0 7.5 1.6 3.6
Geothermal 1 1 3 4.0 4.3 2.6 18.5
Solar 1 9 54 20.5 15.8 24.4 55.9
Tide and wave 0 0 5 6.4 12.3 24.9 110.8
CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 3 934 4 078 4 172 3 818 0.2 –0.3 –4.6 –17.9
Coal 1 700 1 282 1 206 846 –0.6 –1.6 –4.6 –35.9
Oil 1 660 1 787 1 823 1 689 0.2 –0.2 –3.6 –9.4
Gas
Power generation
574 1 009 1 143 1 283 1.1 0.9 –6.2 –12.5
and heat plants 1 376 1 409 1 452 1 189 0.3 –0.7 –7.0 –32.4
Coal 1 130 1 003 993 683 –0.1 –1.5 –4.8 –40.1
Oil 152 100 91 42 –0.9 –3.3 –3.6 –1.0
Gas 93 306 369 464 1.7 1.6 –13.1 –19.4
Total final consumption 2 384 2 478 2 533 2 448 0.2 0.0 –3.5 –9.5
Coal 532 247 189 146 –2.4 –2.0 –3.7 –9.5
Oil 1 395 1 563 1 609 1 524 0.3 –0.1 –3.8 –10.2
of which transport 784 976 1 001 995 0.2 0.1 –4.4 –10.4
Gas 458 668 735 778 0.9 0.6 –2.6 –8.2
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 541
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A