World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: China
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 877 1 626 2 509 3 395 100 100 100 4.0 2.9
Coal 534 999 1 604 2 065 61 64 61 4.4 2.8
Oil 116 319 497 758 20 20 22 4.1 3.4
Gas 16 44 89 157 3 4 5 6.7 5.1
Nuclear 0 13 32 67 1 1 2 8.5 6.4
Hydro 11 30 56 81 2 2 2 5.7 3.8
Biomass and waste 200 221 222 239 14 9 7 0.1 0.3
Other renewables
Power generation
0 0 8 29 0 0 1 – –
and heat plants 173 639 1 138 1 613 100 100 100 5.4 3.6
Coal 145 566 994 1 360 89 87 84 5.2 3.4
Oil 16 22 21 17 3 2 1 –0.4 –0.9
Gas 1 6 21 40 1 2 2 12.1 7.7
Nuclear 0 13 32 67 2 3 4 8.5 6.4
Hydro 11 30 56 81 5 5 5 5.7 3.8
Biomass and waste 0 1 12 32 0 1 2 21.6 13.0
Other renewables
Other transformation,
0 0 3 16 0 0 1 – –
own use and losses 85 176 267 347 100 100 100 3.9 2.6
of which electricity 12 41 88 130 23 33 38 7.2 4.5
Total final consumption 689 1 050 1 596 2 181 100 100 100 3.9 2.9
Coal 332 349 505 579 33 32 27 3.4 2.0
Oil 88 261 425 680 25 27 31 4.5 3.7
Gas 12 33 59 103 3 4 5 5.4 4.5
Electricity 43 151 337 525 14 21 24 7.6 4.9
Heat 13 36 54 73 3 3 3 3.7 2.8
Biomass and waste 200 219 211 207 21 13 9 –0.4 –0.2
Other renewables 0 0 5 13 0 0 1 – –
Industry 274 470 792 1 002 100 100 100 4.9 2.9
Coal 189 256 415 502 54 52 50 4.5 2.6
Oil 35 70 101 113 15 13 11 3.4 1.9
Gas 10 20 29 42 4 4 4 3.5 2.9
Electricity 30 100 209 282 21 26 28 7.0 4.1
Heat 11 25 34 43 5 4 4 3.0 2.2
Biomass and waste 0 0 4 20 0 0 2 – –
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Transport 41 110 195 413 100 100 100 5.4 5.2
Oil 30 104 186 396 94 95 96 5.5 5.3
Biofuels 0 0 2 8 0 1 2 – –
Other fuels
Residential, services
11 6 7 9 6 4 2 1.7 1.6
and agriculture 337 406 519 664 100 100 100 2.2 1.9
Coal 102 63 58 48 16 11 7 –0.8 –1.0
Oil 18 59 92 119 15 18 18 4.2 2.7
Gas 3 13 29 60 3 6 9 7.9 6.2
Electricity 11 41 110 215 10 21 32 9.3 6.6
Heat 2 11 19 29 3 4 4 5.2 3.9
Biomass and waste 200 219 206 179 54 40 27 –0.6 –0.8
Other renewables 0 0 5 13 0 1 2 – –
Non-energy use 38 63 89 101 100 100 100 3.2 1.8
516 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007