World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: Middle East
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 240 588 976 1 502 100 100 100 4.7 3.7
Coal 10 37 56 83 6 6 6 3.8 3.1
Oil 117 218 289 321 37 30 21 2.6 1.5
Gas 101 317 586 1 028 54 60 68 5.7 4.6
Nuclear 0 0 7 7 0 1 0 – –
Hydro 12 17 35 45 3 4 3 7.1 3.9
Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 0 3 19 0 0 1 46.9 25.7
Biomass and waste 0 0 3 9 0 0 1 – –
Wind 0 0 1 5 0 0 0 42.1 25.5
Geothermal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Solar 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0.0 20.5
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 182 300 464 100 100 100 4.6 3.7
Coal 5 7 11 3 2 2 3.6 3.2
Oil 79 104 123 44 35 26 2.5 1.7
Gas 89 171 304 49 57 66 6.2 4.9
Nuclear 0 1 1 0 0 0 – –
Hydro 9 16 20 5 5 4 5.0 3.0
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 0 1 5 0 0 1 31.3 22.4
Biomass and waste 0 0 1 0 0 0 42.4 22.0
Wind 0 0 2 0 0 0 30.6 22.0
Geothermal 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Solar 0 0 2 0 0 1 0.0 23.0
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 602 1 183 1 841 2 460 100 100 100 4.1 2.9
Coal 12 36 54 75 3 3 3 3.9 2.9
Oil 413 690 1 014 1 186 58 55 48 3.6 2.1
Gas
Power generation
177 458 772 1 198 39 42 49 4.9 3.8
and heat plants 172 407 658 973 100 100 100 4.5 3.4
Coal 9 31 46 65 8 7 7 3.5 2.8
Oil 92 169 236 268 42 36 28 3.1 1.8
Gas 71 207 376 641 51 57 66 5.6 4.4
Total final consumption 381 676 1 048 1 310 100 100 100 4.1 2.6
Coal 2 4 8 10 1 1 1 6.3 3.5
Oil 294 483 720 847 71 69 65 3.7 2.2
of which transport 145 264 397 439 39 38 34 3.8 2.0
Gas 85 189 319 453 28 30 35 4.9 3.4
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 525
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A