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World Energy Outlook 2006

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prices rebounded sharply in 2003 and 2004 – by proportionately more than oil<br />

prices – but stabilised in 2005 (Figure 11.4). By the first quarter of <strong>2006</strong>, the<br />

price of steam coal was about 51% above the average level of 1992-2002.<br />

index (1Q 2002=100)<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

Figure 11.4: Average IEA Crude Oil and Coal Import Prices<br />

50<br />

1Q1992 1Q1994 1Q1996 1Q1998 1Q2000 1Q2002 1Q2004 1Q<strong>2006</strong><br />

Crude oil Steam coal<br />

Final Prices to End Users<br />

In general, the prices paid by final energy consumers have increased as much<br />

as international or wholesale prices in absolute terms, but far less in<br />

percentage terms. In the case of oil products, this is mainly because of the<br />

dampening impact of taxes and subsidies. Excise duties, which are levied at<br />

a flat rate per volume, cushion the impact on the final prices of oil products<br />

of increases in international prices. The higher the level of duty on a given<br />

fuel, the less the final price will increase proportionately relative to the<br />

international price. Subsidies – often in the form of price controls – can also<br />

prevent higher international market prices from feeding through fully into<br />

local energy prices. In addition, distribution costs and margins – which<br />

make up a significant part of the final price – have increased much less than<br />

bulk prices. As non-fuel costs account for a significant share of the total cost<br />

of electricity supply, increases in generation fuel costs lead to much smaller<br />

increases in final electricity prices – even where all of the cost increases are<br />

passed through. In the OECD, for which good price information is<br />

available, final coal and gas prices have increased more in percentage terms<br />

than the prices of oil products and electricity (Figure 11.5).<br />

Chapter 11 - The Impact of Higher <strong>Energy</strong> Prices 275<br />

11<br />

© OECD/IEA, 2007

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