World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: United States
Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation 3 203 4 148 4 816 5 380 1.4 1.0 –2.7 –9.0
Coal 1 700 2 090 2 410 2 473 1.3 0.6 –4.7 –20.9
Oil 131 139 136 91 –0.2 –1.6 –1.8 –8.7
Gas 382 732 908 928 2.0 0.9 –0.7 –2.7
Nuclear 611 813 849 1 067 0.4 1.0 – 14.4
Hydro 273 271 291 297 0.7 0.3 0.1 –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 106 102 222 524 7.3 6.5 –3.1 4.5
Biomass and waste 86 72 112 177 4.1 3.5 –0.6 –12.9
Wind 3 14 69 253 15.5 11.7 –9.6 15.5
Geothermal 16 15 30 49 6.1 4.5 – –
Solar 1 1 11 43 30.8 17.9 8.6 46.5
Tide and wave 0 0 0 2 – – – 156.4
Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total capacity 995 1 137 1 317 1.2 1.1 –2.5 –7.9
Coal 334 378 393 1.1 0.6 –4.7 –22.0
Oil 74 74 48 0.0 –1.6 –2.2 –11.2
Gas 373 432 494 1.3 1.1 –1.9 –6.7
Nuclear 98 101 127 0.3 1.0 – 14.4
Hydro 97 99 100 0.2 0.1 0.1 –
of which pumped storage 20 20 20 0.0 0.0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 19 53 155 9.7 8.3 0.2 17.4
Biomass and waste 10 16 27 4.6 3.9 0.4 –12.4
Wind 7 26 96 13.1 10.8 –1.9 23.8
Geothermal 2 4 7 5.7 4.3 – –
Solar 0 7 25 27.2 16.4 9.2 46.9
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0.0 15.4 – 156.4
CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 4 832 5 769 6 371 6 266 0.9 0.3 –3.1 –12.2
Coal 1 774 2 110 2 323 2 217 0.9 0.2 –4.0 –18.0
Oil 2 047 2 448 2 719 2 739 1.0 0.4 –2.8 –10.0
Gas
Power generation
1 011 1 212 1 329 1 310 0.8 0.3 –1.8 –5.9
and heat plants 1 829 2 403 2 683 2 536 1.0 0.2 –3.6 –16.6
Coal 1 532 1 949 2 177 2 086 1.0 0.3 –4.2 –18.8
Oil 88 110 105 69 –0.4 –1.8 –1.9 –9.0
Gas 210 344 400 381 1.4 0.4 –0.8 –3.8
Total final consumption 2 731 3 101 3 419 3 452 0.9 0.4 –2.8 –9.4
Coal 239 146 131 116 –1.0 –0.9 –1.0 –1.8
Oil 1 795 2 184 2 461 2 515 1.1 0.5 –3.0 –10.6
of which transport 1 381 1 759 2 005 2 058 1.2 0.6 –3.3 –11.8
Gas 697 771 827 821 0.6 0.2 –2.2 –6.7
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 535
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A