World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: Developing Countries
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 2 612 4 460 6 372 8 619 100 100 100 3.3 2.6
Coal 790 1 442 2 207 2 936 32 35 34 3.9 2.8
Oil 719 1 317 1 839 2 490 30 29 29 3.1 2.5
Gas 236 567 955 1 475 13 15 17 4.9 3.7
Nuclear 15 37 84 136 1 1 2 7.7 5.1
Hydro 61 107 166 243 2 3 3 4.1 3.2
Biomass and waste 783 972 1 078 1 236 22 17 14 0.9 0.9
Other renewables
Power generation
7 18 43 102 0 1 1 8.0 6.8
and heat plants 524 1 401 2 331 3 452 100 100 100 4.7 3.5
Coal 268 848 1 399 1 997 61 60 58 4.7 3.3
Oil 100 150 172 159 11 7 5 1.2 0.2
Gas 71 233 434 724 17 19 21 5.8 4.5
Nuclear 15 37 84 136 3 4 4 7.7 5.1
Hydro 61 107 166 243 8 7 7 4.1 3.2
Biomass and waste 2 9 42 113 1 2 3 15.0 10.2
Other renewables
Other transformation,
7 18 35 80 1 2 2 6.5 6.0
own use and losses 297 491 689 895 100 100 100 3.1 2.3
of which electricity 42 106 189 284 22 27 32 5.4 3.9
Total final consumption 2 005 3 109 4 344 5 825 100 100 100 3.1 2.4
Coal 432 464 651 759 15 15 13 3.1 1.9
Oil 566 1 060 1 518 2 143 34 35 37 3.3 2.7
Gas 108 245 395 587 8 9 10 4.5 3.4
Electricity 157 388 735 1 178 12 17 20 6.0 4.4
Heat 14 37 55 74 1 1 1 3.6 2.7
Biomass and waste 728 914 981 1 061 29 23 18 0.6 0.6
Other renewables 0 1 8 22 0 0 0 22.6 13.3
Industry 673 1 114 1 697 2 202 100 100 100 3.9 2.7
Coal 268 354 540 656 32 32 30 3.9 2.4
Oil 147 261 355 435 23 21 20 2.8 2.0
Gas 91 173 278 391 16 16 18 4.4 3.2
Electricity 83 198 363 516 18 21 23 5.7 3.8
Heat 11 25 35 43 2 2 2 3.0 2.1
Biomass and waste 74 104 125 160 9 7 7 1.7 1.7
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Transport 296 547 794 1 248 100 100 100 3.4 3.2
Oil 275 526 758 1 180 96 96 95 3.4 3.2
Biofuels 6 6 15 40 1 2 3 8.1 7.3
Other fuels
Residential, services
14 14 20 27 3 3 2 3.4 2.6
and agriculture 963 1 330 1 680 2 147 100 100 100 2.1 1.9
Coal 117 78 76 71 6 5 3 –0.2 –0.3
Oil 114 201 289 368 15 17 17 3.4 2.3
Gas 16 65 106 180 5 6 8 4.6 4.0
Electricity 69 174 345 619 13 21 29 6.4 5.0
Heat 3 11 19 30 1 1 1 5.1 3.9
Biomass and waste 644 800 837 857 60 50 40 0.4 0.3
Other renewables 0 1 8 22 0 0 1 22.4 13.3
Non-energy use 73 119 174 228 100 100 100 3.5 2.5
512 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007