World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Brazil
Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation 223 387 514 616 2.6 1.8 –6.3 –15.7
Coal 5 10 3 2 –10.4 –6.1 –58.2 –68.5
Oil 6 12 6 5 –6.3 –3.3 –45.2 –59.2
Gas 0 19 42 46 7.3 3.4 0.5 –29.7
Nuclear 2 12 24 34 6.9 4.2 – 40.9
Hydro 207 321 415 480 2.4 1.6 –6.1 –17.5
Renewables (excluding hydro) 4 13 24 49 6.2 5.4 5.2 19.0
Biomass and waste 4 12 21 30 4.8 3.4 6.2 3.8
Wind 0 0 4 16 44.6 23.9 – 45.4
Geothermal 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Solar 0 0 0 3 – – – 116.0
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 – – – 250.0
Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total capacity 87 124 149 3.3 2.1 –4.9 –13.6
Coal 1 1 1 0.0 –1.5 –8.5 –12.2
Oil 4 5 5 3.1 0.8 –9.6 –24.5
Gas 9 21 24 8.2 4.0 4.3 –9.8
Nuclear 2 3 4 4.8 3.3 – 40.9
Hydro 69 89 103 2.4 1.6 –7.0 –18.5
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 – – – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 2 4 12 7.2 6.9 4.3 31.7
Biomass and waste 2 3 5 4.5 3.3 5.8 3.6
Wind 0 1 5 39.7 22.3 – 47.8
Geothermal 0 0 0 – – – –
Solar 0 0 2 – – – 116.0
Tide and wave 0 0 0 – – – 259.0
CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 193 323 382 458 1.5 1.3 –7.4 –16.9
Coal 29 50 44 49 –1.2 –0.1 –16.0 –20.6
Oil 158 238 279 329 1.5 1.3 –7.4 –16.7
Gas
Power generation
6 35 59 79 4.7 3.1 –0.0 –15.2
and heat plants 12 33 28 27 –1.4 –0.8 –22.4 –44.0
Coal 8 15 5 3 –10.4 –6.1 –57.3 –67.8
Oil 4 9 4 3 –6.7 –3.5 –47.2 –60.8
Gas 0 9 20 20 7.3 3.1 8.9 –31.5
Total final consumption 165 267 326 396 1.8 1.5 –6.0 –14.4
Coal 18 31 36 43 1.2 1.2 –5.2 –12.1
Oil 143 216 261 308 1.7 1.4 –6.4 –15.8
of which transport 81 133 160 194 1.7 1.5 –7.9 –19.1
Gas 4 20 30 45 3.7 3.2 –3.3 –6.5
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 559
© OECD/IEA, 2007
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