World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: European Union
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 1 546 1 756 1 877 1 847 0.6 0.2 –0.9 –6.4
Coal 427 311 281 182 –0.9 –2.0 –3.1 –35.9
Oil 591 656 671 620 0.2 –0.2 –3.5 –9.5
Gas 255 417 469 523 1.1 0.9 –6.2 –12.4
Nuclear 203 257 259 214 0.1 –0.7 12.3 45.7
Hydro 23 26 32 35 1.9 1.2 2.8 5.2
Biomass and waste 44 77 131 189 4.9 3.5 13.6 20.0
Other renewables
Power generation
3 11 34 85 10.9 8.2 6.7 21.5
and heat plants 601 712 767 720 0.7 0.0 –0.1 –8.6
Coal 276 238 229 147 –0.3 –1.8 –3.0 –39.9
Oil 48 31 29 12 –0.8 –3.5 –4.1 –6.1
Gas 39 122 147 186 1.7 1.6 –13.6 –19.9
Nuclear 203 257 259 214 0.1 –0.7 12.3 45.7
Hydro 23 26 32 35 1.9 1.2 2.8 5.2
Biomass and waste 8 28 41 54 3.5 2.6 –0.0 –5.3
Other renewables
Other transformation,
3 10 31 73 10.6 7.9 3.1 17.4
own use and losses 122 127 125 117 –0.2 –0.3 –2.9 –8.6
of which electricity 37 43 44 43 0.3 0.1 –5.2 –15.1
Total final consumption 1 086 1 244 1 351 1 403 0.8 0.5 –2.1 –6.7
Coal 114 44 30 20 –3.6 –3.0 –2.6 –8.7
Oil 513 589 607 572 0.3 –0.1 –3.7 –10.0
Gas 204 282 307 322 0.8 0.5 –2.4 –7.9
Electricity 177 228 255 273 1.0 0.7 –5.1 –14.4
Heat 41 51 59 69 1.3 1.2 –0.6 –1.3
Biomass and waste 36 49 90 135 5.7 4.0 21.1 34.3
Other renewables 0 1 4 12 13.1 10.1 50.0 55.9
Industry 371 378 410 410 0.7 0.3 –2.0 –7.1
Coal 65 32 23 16 –3.1 –2.6 –3.3 –10.4
Oil 105 112 125 113 1.0 0.0 –1.4 –4.1
Gas 92 112 123 130 0.9 0.6 –2.6 –5.9
Electricity 80 94 101 102 0.7 0.3 –5.2 –13.9
Heat 15 11 11 12 0.5 0.5 –1.8 –3.5
Biomass and waste 14 17 26 34 3.9 2.7 14.8 1.6
Other renewables 0 0 0 2 37.4 28.4 – –
Transport 279 361 389 404 0.7 0.4 –3.1 –6.8
Oil 273 351 357 352 0.2 0.0 –4.5 –10.7
Biofuels 0 2 21 36 24.1 11.7 19.2 33.8
Other fuels
Residential, services
6 8 11 16 3.1 3.0 12.6 27.8
and agriculture 407 475 520 557 0.8 0.6 –1.3 –6.1
Coal 48 11 6 3 –5.3 –4.9 –0.1 –0.4
Oil 107 97 94 76 –0.3 –0.9 –3.2 –14.5
Gas 112 168 181 185 0.7 0.4 –2.7 –10.4
Electricity 92 128 146 160 1.2 0.9 –5.7 –16.1
Heat 26 40 48 57 1.5 1.3 –0.3 –0.8
Biomass and waste 22 30 42 65 3.2 3.1 26.4 62.1
Other renewables 0 1 4 10 12.9 9.4 52.0 75.3
Non-energy use 29 30 32 32 0.5 0.3 –3.7 –10.6
542 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007