World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: OECD North America
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 3 809 4 970 5 999 7 255 100 100 100 1.7 1.5
Coal 1 790 2 217 2 711 3 327 45 45 46 1.8 1.6
Oil 217 231 216 167 5 4 2 –0.6 –1.2
Gas 406 851 1 158 1 412 17 19 19 2.8 2.0
Nuclear 687 913 973 1 057 18 16 15 0.6 0.6
Hydro 593 637 679 713 13 11 10 0.6 0.4
Renewables (excluding hydro) 115 121 261 579 2 4 8 7.2 6.2
Biomass and waste 90 83 125 221 2 2 3 3.8 3.8
Wind 3 16 87 264 0 1 4 16.9 11.5
Geothermal 21 22 39 62 0 1 1 5.2 4.0
Solar 1 1 10 31 0 0 0 28.7 16.0
Tide and wave 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 8.0 16.8
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 1 180 1 401 1 741 100 100 100 1.6 1.5
Coal 365 434 546 31 31 31 1.6 1.6
Oil 96 99 73 8 7 4 0.3 –1.1
Gas 407 507 652 35 36 37 2.0 1.8
Nuclear 112 118 128 9 8 7 0.5 0.5
Hydro 178 183 190 15 13 11 0.2 0.3
of which pumped storage 20 20 20 2 1 1 0.0 0.0
Renewables (excluding hydro) 22 60 152 2 4 9 9.3 7.6
Biomass and waste 12 18 33 1 1 2 4.2 4.1
Wind 7 30 92 1 2 5 13.9 10.3
Geothermal 3 6 9 0 0 0 5.0 3.9
Solar 1 6 18 0 0 1 25.6 14.5
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 13.0
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 5 554 6 694 7 721 8 528 100 100 100 1.3 0.9
Coal 1 882 2 249 2 600 2 878 34 34 34 1.3 1.0
Oil 2 485 2 967 3 401 3 740 44 44 44 1.3 0.9
Gas
Power generation
1 187 1 478 1 720 1 910 22 22 22 1.4 1.0
and heat plants 1 991 2 648 3 114 3 433 100 100 100 1.5 1.0
Coal 1 618 2 065 2 433 2 726 78 78 79 1.5 1.1
Oil 151 178 171 127 7 5 4 –0.4 –1.3
Gas 222 404 510 579 15 16 17 2.1 1.4
Total final consumption 3 211 3 678 4 198 4 622 100 100 100 1.2 0.9
Coal 262 168 151 135 5 4 3 –1.0 –0.8
Oil 2 122 2 587 3 029 3 402 70 72 74 1.4 1.1
of which transport 1 584 2 030 2 416 2 767 55 58 60 1.6 1.2
Gas 827 923 1 018 1 084 25 24 23 0.9 0.6
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 497
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A