World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Transition Economies
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 1 488 1 077 1 210 1 285 1.1 0.7 –3.9 –9.5
Coal 330 203 218 183 0.6 –0.4 –4.7 –9.7
Oil 454 223 248 263 1.0 0.6 –5.8 –11.8
Gas 599 536 608 639 1.2 0.7 –3.9 –14.3
Nuclear 60 73 83 124 1.2 2.1 1.8 19.3
Hydro 23 26 29 36 1.1 1.2 0.1 3.0
Biomass and waste 0 17 19 26 1.2 1.7 2.6 14.3
Other renewables
Power generation
21 1 6 15 21.9 12.8 4.8 15.4
and heat plants 574 535 580 597 0.7 0.4 –3.8 –8.6
Coal 171 133 142 106 0.6 –0.9 –5.0 –8.7
Oil 80 26 23 15 –1.3 –2.0 –0.7 –5.5
Gas 240 272 295 295 0.7 0.3 –5.6 –19.4
Nuclear 60 73 83 124 1.2 2.1 1.8 19.3
Hydro 23 26 29 36 1.1 1.2 0.1 3.0
Biomass and waste 0 4 4 8 –0.2 2.5 11.9 67.0
Other renewables
Other transformation,
0 0 5 13 25.0 13.9 0.8 8.9
own use and losses 200 157 165 177 0.5 0.5 –6.3 –12.4
of which electricity 43 39 41 44 0.5 0.5 –6.1 –12.8
Total final consumption 1 014 704 795 851 1.1 0.7 –3.7 –10.2
Coal 104 44 49 49 1.1 0.4 –4.1 –12.3
Oil 340 168 190 204 1.1 0.8 –6.7 –12.8
Gas 306 227 272 297 1.6 1.0 –2.3 –9.7
Electricity 121 95 112 130 1.6 1.2 –3.5 –10.0
Heat 123 159 157 152 –0.1 –0.2 –2.8 –8.5
Biomass and waste 0 12 14 17 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.0
Other renewables 21 0 0 2 8.0 8.7 91.8 114.6
Industry 446 245 279 301 1.2 0.8 –3.6 –10.5
Coal 44 31 36 37 1.4 0.7 –4.5 –12.2
Oil 79 28 33 36 1.5 0.9 –4.4 –11.5
Gas 199 81 100 114 1.9 1.3 –3.6 –11.7
Electricity 76 45 54 66 1.7 1.5 –3.9 –8.3
Heat 47 58 53 46 –0.8 –0.9 –2.3 –8.7
Biomass and waste 0 2 2 3 1.6 1.5 – –
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 37.1 25.4 – –
Transport 154 140 166 184 1.5 1.0 –5.8 –9.6
Oil 135 90 105 115 1.4 0.9 –8.9 –14.0
Biofuels 0 0 0 0 18.4 10.3 64.8 58.7
Other fuels
Residential, services
18 50 60 69 1.8 1.3 –0.0 –1.4
and agriculture 340 302 332 346 0.9 0.5 –2.6 –10.1
Coal 54 11 11 10 0.2 –0.3 –3.2 –14.0
Oil 78 35 36 35 0.3 0.1 –2.5 –10.2
Gas 95 105 121 125 1.3 0.7 –2.3 –11.2
Electricity 36 41 48 53 1.5 1.0 –3.7 –13.8
Heat 76 101 104 107 0.3 0.2 –3.0 –8.5
Biomass and waste 0 10 12 14 1.4 1.3 –0.6 –1.3
Other renewables 1 0 0 1 7.7 8.2 99.3 153.0
Non-energy use 75 17 18 20 0.5 0.7 –5.7 –11.1
544 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007