World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: Brazil
Electricity generation (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total generation 223 387 549 731 100 100 100 3.2 2.5
Coal 5 10 7 6 3 1 1 –3.0 –1.8
Oil 6 12 11 13 3 2 2 –1.0 0.1
Gas 0 19 41 65 5 8 9 7.2 4.8
Nuclear 2 12 24 24 3 4 3 6.9 2.9
Hydro 207 321 442 581 83 80 79 2.9 2.3
Renewables (excluding hydro) 4 13 23 41 3 4 6 5.7 4.7
Biomass and waste 4 12 20 29 3 4 4 4.2 3.3
Wind 0 0 4 11 0 1 2 44.6 22.1
Geothermal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Solar 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 – –
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Capacity (GW) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total capacity 87 131 172 100 100 100 3.8 2.7
Coal 1 2 1 2 1 1 0.8 –1.0
Oil 4 6 6 4 4 4 4.0 1.9
Gas 9 20 26 10 15 15 7.8 4.4
Nuclear 2 3 3 2 2 2 4.8 2.0
Hydro 69 96 127 80 74 74 3.1 2.4
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 2 4 9 2 3 5 6.8 5.8
Biomass and waste 2 3 5 2 2 3 3.9 3.1
Wind 0 1 4 0 1 2 39.7 20.4
Geothermal 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
Solar 0 0 1 0 0 0 – –
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 – –
CO2 emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 193 323 412 551 100 100 100 2.2 2.1
Coal 29 50 52 62 16 13 11 0.3 0.8
Oil 158 238 302 395 74 73 72 2.2 2.0
Gas
Power generation
6 35 59 93 11 14 17 4.7 3.8
and heat plants 12 33 37 47 100 100 100 0.9 1.4
Coal 8 15 11 9 46 30 20 –3.2 –1.9
Oil 4 9 8 9 26 21 18 –1.1 0.0
Gas 0 9 18 29 27 49 62 6.4 4.6
Total final consumption 165 267 347 462 100 100 100 2.4 2.1
Coal 18 31 38 48 12 11 10 1.7 1.7
Oil 143 216 278 366 81 80 79 2.3 2.1
of which transport 81 133 174 240 50 50 52 2.5 2.3
Gas 4 20 31 48 7 9 10 4.0 3.5
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 523
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A