World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Middle East
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 235 479 693 861 3.4 2.3 –7.8 –15.8
Coal 3 9 9 11 –0.6 0.6 –36.6 –42.9
Oil 151 265 370 423 3.1 1.8 –5.0 –8.9
Gas 78 202 304 405 3.8 2.7 –10.4 –23.0
Nuclear 0 0 2 2 – – – –
Hydro 1 1 3 4 7.1 3.9 – –
Biomass and waste 1 1 2 7 8.0 7.7 2.1 26.5
Other renewables
Power generation
0 1 3 10 11.3 10.1 86.6 196.6
and heat plants 63 152 210 266 3.0 2.2 –17.1 –31.3
Coal 2 8 7 9 –1.4 0.5 –41.5 –45.0
Oil 29 54 66 68 1.8 0.9 –12.9 –20.5
Gas 30 89 132 176 3.7 2.7 –18.1 –35.9
Nuclear 0 0 2 2 – – – –
Hydro 1 1 3 4 7.1 3.9 – –
Biomass and waste 0 0 1 5 – – 5.2 38.4
Other renewables
Other transformation,
0 0 0 2 62.0 32.7 301.2 127.7
own use and losses 20 58 78 104 2.8 2.3 –2.2 –5.6
of which electricity 4 10 16 22 4.1 3.0 –4.4 –11.3
Total final consumption 172 320 485 606 3.8 2.5 –3.4 –7.5
Coal 0 1 1 1 5.7 2.1 –7.0 –32.1
Oil 116 193 278 320 3.4 2.0 –3.3 –6.6
Gas 38 84 137 183 4.5 3.0 –3.8 –9.8
Electricity 17 41 65 93 4.3 3.2 –4.4 –11.2
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 1 1 1 2 1.9 2.5 –0.6 2.0
Other renewables 0 1 2 8 10.3 9.2 76.9 219.6
Industry 66 120 188 246 4.1 2.8 –3.4 –8.0
Coal 0 1 1 1 5.7 2.1 –7.0 –32.1
Oil 28 53 68 84 2.4 1.8 –2.4 –5.9
Gas 35 59 104 139 5.3 3.4 –4.1 –9.4
Electricity 3 8 15 22 5.3 3.9 –2.8 –5.1
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 0 0 0 0 1.0 1.1 –5.6 –10.1
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Transport 59 100 144 156 3.4 1.7 –4.2 –6.4
Oil 59 100 144 155 3.4 1.7 –4.2 –6.5
Biofuels 0 0 0 1 19.5 14.5 5.0 12.5
Other fuels
Residential, services
0 0 0 0 1.5 1.5 – –
and agriculture 41 91 137 179 3.7 2.6 –2.6 –8.1
Coal 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Oil 23 32 50 56 4.2 2.2 –2.2 –8.1
Gas 3 26 34 44 2.5 2.1 –3.1 –11.3
Electricity 14 32 50 71 4.1 3.1 –4.8 –13.0
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 1 1 1 1 1.0 1.0 – –
Other renewables 0 1 2 8 10.2 9.2 78.5 222.2
Non-energy use 5 9 17 24 6.2 4.1 –2.4 –5.9
560 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007