World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: OECD North America
Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation 3 809 4 970 5 829 6 595 1.5 1.1 –2.8 –9.1
Coal 1 790 2 217 2 578 2 588 1.4 0.6 –4.9 –22.2
Oil 217 231 213 153 –0.7 –1.6 –1.5 –8.0
Gas 406 851 1 125 1 286 2.6 1.6 –2.8 –8.9
Nuclear 687 913 973 1 191 0.6 1.0 – 12.7
Hydro 593 637 681 734 0.6 0.5 0.3 2.9
Renewables (excluding hydro) 115 121 259 644 7.1 6.6 –0.9 11.2
Biomass and waste 90 83 125 207 3.8 3.6 0.1 –6.2
Wind 3 16 84 324 16.4 12.4 –3.9 23.0
Geothermal 21 22 39 63 5.2 4.1 – 1.8
Solar 1 1 11 46 29.7 17.8 8.5 48.7
Tide and wave 0 0 0 4 8.0 19.8 – 95.9
Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total capacity 1 180 1 364 1 602 1.3 1.2 –2.6 –8.0
Coal 365 412 418 1.1 0.5 –5.0 –23.5
Oil 96 97 65 0.1 –1.5 –1.9 –10.0
Gas 407 492 592 1.7 1.4 –3.0 –9.2
Nuclear 112 118 144 0.5 1.0 – 12.5
Hydro 178 183 195 0.3 0.4 0.2 2.5
of which pumped storage 20 20 20 0.0 0.0 – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 22 61 188 9.6 8.5 2.3 23.4
Biomass and waste 12 18 31 4.3 3.9 1.0 –5.5
Wind 7 31 120 14.1 11.4 2.0 30.4
Geothermal 3 6 9 5.0 3.9 – 1.8
Solar 1 7 27 26.6 16.3 9.1 49.5
Tide and wave 0 0 1 0.0 16.0 – 97.0
CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 5 554 6 694 7 469 7 447 1.0 0.4 –3.3 –12.7
Coal 1 882 2 249 2 490 2 326 0.9 0.1 –4.2 –19.2
Oil 2 485 2 967 3 301 3 360 1.0 0.5 –2.9 –10.2
Gas
Power generation
1 187 1 478 1 678 1 762 1.2 0.7 –2.5 –7.7
and heat plants 1 991 2 648 2 989 2 816 1.1 0.2 –4.0 –18.0
Coal 1 618 2 065 2 326 2 180 1.1 0.2 –4.4 –20.0
Oil 151 178 168 117 –0.5 –1.6 –1.5 –7.9
Gas 222 404 495 519 1.9 1.0 –2.9 –10.5
Total final consumption 3 211 3 678 4 076 4 177 0.9 0.5 –2.9 –9.6
Coal 262 168 149 131 –1.1 –1.0 –1.4 –3.2
Oil 2 122 2 587 2 932 3 033 1.1 0.6 –3.2 –10.8
of which transport 1 584 2 030 2 330 2 426 1.3 0.7 –3.6 –12.3
Gas 827 923 996 1 013 0.7 0.4 –2.2 –6.6
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 533
© OECD/IEA, 2007
A