World Energy Outlook 2006

Production and Imports
Gas production reached 18.7 bcm in 2005, up from 7.2 bcm in 2000.
Production is projected to increase to 23 bcm in 2015 and to 38 bcm in 2030
in the Reference Scenario, growing at an average rate of 4.6% per year over the
Outlook period. Gas-import dependence declines over the Outlook period, but
the rate of decline slows after 2015 (Figure 16.11).
In order to increase domestic gas production, Brazil needs to make major
investments in resource development and in its gas distribution network.
Compared with other Latin American countries, the Brazilian gas pipeline
network is underdeveloped. The total network spans some 8 000 km, including
the Brazilian portions of cross-border pipelines. However, it covers only a small
part of the country, mainly serving São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro in the south and
the coastal states in the northeast. Petrobras also recently announced an
“Anticipated Production Plan” to accelerate natural gas production at the Espírito
Santo and Campos basins. In the Campos basin, there are two main offshore
gathering platforms, at Enchova and Garoupa, from which gas is piped to shore
before being transported to the Duque de Caxias refinery. Petrobras is planning
a large-scale project to construct an integrated pipeline system (GASENE)
connecting the southeast of the country with the north and northeast. This
would enable the development of markets in the northern regions, which could
be supplied in the future by the new discoveries made in the Santos basin.
bcm
Figure 16.11: Natural Gas Balance in Brazil in the Reference Scenario
60
40
20
0
– 20
import dependence (%)
43% 25% 23%
1980 1990 2004 2015 2030
Net imports Demand
472 World Energy Outlook 2006 - FOCUS ON KEY TOPICS