World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Japan
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 446 533 571 563 0.6 0.2 –2.5 –7.0
Coal 77 116 108 74 –0.6 –1.7 –6.6 –24.5
Oil 253 253 243 218 –0.4 –0.6 –3.7 –7.7
Gas 48 72 86 78 1.6 0.3 –2.5 –21.8
Nuclear 53 74 101 143 2.9 2.6 – 7.9
Hydro 8 8 8 8 –0.2 0.0 – –
Biomass and waste 5 6 17 27 9.4 5.7 29.9 37.9
Other renewables
Power generation
3 4 7 15 6.2 5.4 6.3 31.6
and heat plants 171 219 249 250 1.2 0.5 –2.7 –9.1
Coal 25 60 55 26 –0.7 –3.1 –9.6 –42.2
Oil 48 24 16 5 –3.7 –5.9 –16.6 –45.5
Gas 33 47 55 45 1.5 –0.2 –2.2 –30.1
Nuclear 53 74 101 143 2.9 2.6 – 7.9
Hydro 8 8 8 8 –0.2 0.0 – –
Biomass and waste 2 4 8 12 7.3 4.5 54.9 60.9
Other renewables
Other transformation,
1 3 5 10 5.1 4.8 4.6 27.2
own use and losses 41 52 50 47 –0.3 –0.4 –2.7 –7.6
of which electricity 7 9 9 8 0.2 –0.3 –3.9 –11.0
Total final consumption 306 354 373 365 0.5 0.1 –2.8 –6.5
Coal 32 27 27 25 –0.1 –0.3 –2.9 –7.9
Oil 189 214 213 199 0.0 –0.3 –2.8 –6.6
Gas 15 27 31 32 1.5 0.7 –3.2 –7.3
Electricity 65 83 91 90 0.8 0.3 –3.9 –10.7
Heat 0 1 1 1 1.9 1.3 – –
Biomass and waste 3 2 8 14 12.1 7.2 11.7 22.9
Other renewables 1 1 2 5 9.5 7.1 10.6 42.4
Industry 130 136 142 138 0.4 0.1 –2.0 –4.5
Coal 32 27 27 25 –0.1 –0.3 –2.9 –7.9
Oil 59 61 62 57 0.1 –0.3 –1.0 –2.8
Gas 5 11 13 13 1.6 0.6 –4.0 –8.8
Electricity 32 34 35 34 0.2 0.0 –2.8 –7.5
Heat 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Biomass and waste 3 2 5 9 7.7 5.5 0.7 16.3
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Transport 76 94 96 92 0.1 –0.1 –2.8 –6.0
Oil 74 92 93 88 0.0 –0.2 –3.7 –7.8
Biofuels 0 0 1 2 – – 231.1 216.2
Other fuels
Residential, services
1 2 2 2 2.5 1.7 8.0 14.1
and agriculture 89 115 126 127 0.9 0.4 –3.5 –8.8
Coal 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Oil 45 50 50 46 –0.1 –0.3 –3.3 –8.3
Gas 11 16 18 18 1.2 0.6 –3.1 –7.0
Electricity 31 48 54 54 1.2 0.5 –4.8 –13.2
Heat 0 1 1 1 1.9 1.3 – –
Biomass and waste 0 0 2 3 48.0 19.7 10.0 2.9
Other renewables 1 1 2 5 9.4 7.1 10.6 42.4
Non-energy use 11 10 9 8 –0.9 –0.8 –3.0 –9.4
538 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007