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World Energy Outlook 2006

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according to the conversion process, the scale of production and region, and<br />

the type of crop used.<br />

Biofuels production and use can have other important environmental effects.<br />

In particular, major changes in the use of farm land could profoundly affect<br />

local and regional ecosystems, with both positive and negative implications for<br />

flora and fauna. These effects depend on what land is used, which crops are<br />

grown for biofuels and farming techniques:<br />

� Conventional agricultural crops, such as rapeseed, corn and cereals used<br />

to produce first-generation biofuels generally require high-quality farm<br />

land and substantial amounts of fertilizer and chemical pesticides. The<br />

production of such crops for biofuels would increase global competition<br />

for arable land, increase the pressure to turn more land over to crops,<br />

including rain forests, and drive up food and fodder prices.<br />

� The environmental impact of sugar-cane cultivation, as practiced in<br />

Brazil, is generally smaller. Experience has shown that soil quality<br />

productivity can be maintained, over decades of production, by recycling<br />

the nutrients in the waste from the sugar mill and distillery back to the<br />

fields. However, using more bagasse as an energy input to ethanol<br />

production would reduce the amount of nutrients recycled. Most sugarcane<br />

production in Brazil and other countries depends on rainfall and<br />

does not require irrigation.<br />

� Palm oil is produced on plantations, typically on poor soils, but without<br />

the need for extensive use of fertilizers and pesticides. However, increases<br />

in the size of plantations can lead to the loss of rain forests, especially in<br />

southeast Asia.<br />

Perennial ligno-cellulosic crops, such as eucalyptus, poplar or willow trees, can<br />

be harvested several times at intervals of three to seven years. Grasses can be<br />

harvested each year. Management is far less intensive compared to annual crops<br />

and fossil-energy inputs are generally low, with typical energy input/output<br />

ratios of between 1:10 and 1:20. Ligno-cellulosic crops can be grown on poorquality<br />

land, requiring less fertilizer. In addition, most nutrients remain on the<br />

land because, for deciduous trees, the harvest takes place after the nutrient-rich<br />

leaves have dropped. As a result, soil carbon and quality tends to increase over<br />

time, especially when compared to conventional farming. Switching to the<br />

second-generation ligno-cellulosic ethanol technology, currently under<br />

development, could, therefore, greatly reduce the environmental drawbacks of<br />

biofuels production.<br />

Chapter 14 - The <strong>Outlook</strong> for Biofuels<br />

393<br />

14

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