World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Latin America
Electricity generation (TWh) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation 491 874 1 244 1 716 3.3 2.6 –4.6 –13.5
Coal 15 30 31 45 0.1 1.5 –28.2 –42.0
Oil 41 83 69 35 –1.6 –3.2 –8.8 –19.0
Gas 55 131 274 473 6.9 5.1 –11.1 –27.9
Nuclear 10 19 37 44 6.0 3.2 – 28.8
Hydro 364 589 786 1 009 2.6 2.1 –1.7 –6.9
Renewables (excluding hydro) 7 21 47 110 7.6 6.6 17.1 23.9
Biomass and waste 7 18 34 56 5.9 4.4 24.8 10.7
Wind 0 0 8 32 31.0 18.1 – 46.0
Geothermal 1 2 4 13 5.3 7.0 – 12.7
Solar 0 0 0 8 – – – 87.6
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 – – – 366.7
Capacity (GW) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total capacity 206 319 447 4.1 3.0 –3.5 –11.4
Coal 5 7 8 1.9 1.7 –17.4 –35.5
Oil 28 29 18 0.1 –1.8 –1.9 –7.9
Gas 38 100 170 9.3 6.0 –6.4 –19.7
Nuclear 3 5 6 4.9 2.8 – 29.1
Hydro 128 170 218 2.6 2.1 –2.3 –7.5
of which pumped storage 0 0 0 – – – –
Renewables (excluding hydro) 4 9 27 8.5 8.0 13.4 35.0
Biomass and waste 3 6 9 5.4 4.1 23.6 10.7
Wind 0 3 11 26.8 16.5 – 47.5
Geothermal 0 1 2 5.4 7.0 – 12.7
Solar 0 0 5 – – – 87.6
Tide and wave 0 0 0 – – – 381.0
CO2 emissions (Mt) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO2 emissions 602 907 1 091 1 330 1.7 1.5 –5.2 –14.3
Coal 57 85 88 103 0.2 0.7 –14.6 –26.2
Oil 426 601 679 785 1.1 1.0 –3.9 –10.1
Gas
Power generation
119 221 324 442 3.6 2.7 –5.0 –17.9
and heat plants 98 176 218 266 2.0 1.6 –12.0 –29.0
Coal 21 35 32 39 –0.8 0.5 –28.3 –42.0
Oil 45 77 57 27 –2.8 –3.9 –8.3 –17.9
Gas 32 64 130 199 6.6 4.5 –8.5 –27.1
Total final consumption 439 656 787 960 1.7 1.5 –3.5 –10.1
Coal 32 47 53 60 1.0 0.9 –4.4 –11.2
Oil 350 489 584 711 1.6 1.4 –3.6 –10.0
of which transport 200 301 347 426 1.3 1.3 –4.1 –11.0
Gas 56 119 151 189 2.1 1.8 –2.8 –9.9
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 557
© OECD/IEA, 2007
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