World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: OECD Pacific
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 640 880 1 030 1 119 100 100 100 1.4 0.9
Coal 138 217 239 230 25 23 21 0.9 0.2
Oil 340 399 429 433 45 42 39 0.7 0.3
Gas 69 124 158 188 14 15 17 2.3 1.6
Nuclear 66 108 155 196 12 15 17 3.4 2.3
Hydro 11 12 13 13 1 1 1 0.3 0.4
Biomass and waste 10 14 23 36 2 2 3 4.8 3.8
Other renewables
Power generation
5 6 13 24 1 1 2 6.9 5.4
and heat plants 238 365 452 502 100 100 100 2.0 1.2
Coal 60 139 159 152 38 35 30 1.3 0.3
Oil 54 30 25 13 8 6 3 –1.4 –3.0
Gas 40 67 82 99 18 18 20 1.9 1.5
Nuclear 66 108 155 196 29 34 39 3.4 2.3
Hydro 11 12 13 13 3 3 3 0.3 0.4
Biomass and waste 3 5 8 13 1 2 3 4.4 3.7
Other renewables
Other transformation,
3 5 9 16 1 2 3 6.0 4.8
own use and losses 62 82 86 89 100 100 100 0.5 0.3
of which electricity 11 16 18 19 19 21 21 1.3 0.7
Total final consumption 437 586 679 739 100 100 100 1.4 0.9
Coal 49 39 40 40 7 6 5 0.4 0.1
Oil 268 345 379 395 59 56 53 0.9 0.5
Gas 26 55 72 83 9 11 11 2.5 1.6
Electricity 86 132 163 184 23 24 25 1.9 1.3
Heat 0 5 6 7 1 1 1 2.3 1.6
Biomass and waste 6 9 15 23 1 2 3 5.0 3.8
Other renewables 2 1 4 8 0 1 1 10.1 7.4
Industry 179 233 265 283 100 100 100 1.2 0.8
Coal 39 38 39 39 16 15 14 0.4 0.1
Oil 81 103 112 115 44 42 41 0.8 0.4
Gas 12 24 31 35 11 12 12 2.2 1.3
Electricity 43 58 68 75 25 26 27 1.5 1.0
Heat 0 3 4 4 1 1 2 2.3 1.6
Biomass and waste 4 7 10 15 3 4 5 3.5 3.2
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 –0.5 –0.2
Transport 117 164 187 202 100 100 100 1.2 0.8
Oil 115 161 183 197 98 98 97 1.2 0.8
Biofuels 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 53.6 23.6
Other fuels
Residential, services
2 3 4 4 2 2 2 2.4 1.7
and agriculture 127 174 210 236 100 100 100 1.7 1.2
Coal 9 1 1 1 1 0 0 –1.1 –0.8
Oil 58 66 67 66 38 32 28 0.2 0.0
Gas 14 30 40 47 17 19 20 2.6 1.7
Electricity 42 72 92 105 42 44 44 2.2 1.4
Heat 0 2 3 3 1 1 1 2.2 1.5
Biomass and waste 2 2 5 7 1 2 3 8.0 4.9
Other renewables 1 1 3 8 1 2 3 12.0 8.4
Non-energy use 15 16 17 18 100 100 100 0.6 0.5
500 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007