World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: OECD
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 4 518 5 502 6 261 6 860 100 100 100 1.2 0.9
Coal 1 063 1 129 1 231 1 301 21 20 19 0.8 0.5
Oil 1 894 2 236 2 468 2 591 41 39 38 0.9 0.6
Gas 844 1 199 1 429 1 648 22 23 24 1.6 1.2
Nuclear 449 604 645 621 11 10 9 0.6 0.1
Hydro 101 109 121 131 2 2 2 1.0 0.7
Biomass and waste 140 187 278 386 3 4 6 3.7 2.8
Other renewables
Power generation
28 37 88 181 1 1 3 8.0 6.3
and heat plants 1 701 2 197 2 549 2 820 100 100 100 1.4 1.0
Coal 750 906 1 029 1 119 41 40 40 1.2 0.8
Oil 148 115 107 66 5 4 2 –0.7 –2.1
Gas 175 371 483 593 17 19 21 2.4 1.8
Nuclear 449 604 645 621 27 25 22 0.6 0.1
Hydro 101 109 121 131 5 5 5 1.0 0.7
Biomass and waste 52 61 91 147 3 4 5 3.8 3.5
Other renewables
Other transformation,
25 31 72 144 1 3 5 8.0 6.1
own use and losses 381 416 447 486 100 100 100 0.7 0.6
of which electricity 105 118 136 153 28 30 31 1.3 1.0
Total final consumption 3 135 3 826 4 393 4 892 100 100 100 1.3 1.0
Coal 229 134 120 108 3 3 2 –1.0 –0.8
Oil 1 638 2 000 2 244 2 409 52 51 49 1.1 0.7
Gas 591 747 843 923 20 19 19 1.1 0.8
Electricity 547 753 914 1 093 20 21 22 1.8 1.4
Heat 40 59 71 83 2 2 2 1.6 1.3
Biomass and waste 87 127 187 239 3 4 5 3.6 2.5
Other renewables 3 6 15 37 0 0 1 8.4 7.1
Industry 1 015 1 152 1 297 1 393 100 100 100 1.1 0.7
Coal 159 115 108 100 10 8 7 –0.6 –0.5
Oil 323 376 431 433 33 33 31 1.2 0.5
Gas 261 310 342 370 27 26 27 0.9 0.7
Electricity 223 269 309 351 23 24 25 1.3 1.0
Heat 14 17 20 23 1 2 2 1.7 1.2
Biomass and waste 35 64 85 112 6 7 8 2.6 2.2
Other renewables 0 1 1 4 0 0 0 4.2 7.0
Transport 986 1 283 1 484 1 660 100 100 100 1.3 1.0
Oil 960 1 244 1 412 1 571 97 95 95 1.2 0.9
Biofuels 0 9 39 52 1 3 3 14.3 7.0
Other fuels
Residential, services
26 30 33 38 2 2 2 1.0 1.0
and agriculture 1 036 1 273 1 476 1 689 100 100 100 1.4 1.1
Coal 68 17 11 7 1 1 0 –4.1 –3.5
Oil 259 263 266 257 21 18 15 0.1 –0.1
Gas 311 416 479 528 33 32 31 1.3 0.9
Electricity 316 475 593 728 37 40 43 2.0 1.7
Heat 27 42 50 60 3 3 4 1.6 1.4
Biomass and waste 52 54 63 75 4 4 4 1.4 1.2
Other renewables 3 6 14 34 0 1 2 8.7 7.1
Non-energy use 98 119 137 150 100 100 100 1.3 0.9
494 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007