World Energy Outlook 2006

Alternative Policy Scenario: Developing Asia
Energy demand (Mtoe) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 1 638 2 916 4 027 5 111 3.0 2.2 –5.5 –11.8
Coal 696 1 309 1 902 2 197 3.5 2.0 –7.4 –20.1
Oil 321 713 968 1 286 2.8 2.3 –6.2 –13.2
Gas 74 203 335 495 4.6 3.5 –2.7 –5.1
Nuclear 10 29 78 175 9.6 7.2 13.9 43.7
Hydro 24 47 87 138 5.8 4.2 3.9 9.3
Biomass and waste 506 600 619 718 0.3 0.7 –4.0 0.1
Other renewables
Power generation
6 15 38 102 8.8 7.7 7.1 30.9
and heat plants 323 1 011 1 624 2 220 4.4 3.1 –6.1 –12.3
Coal 222 775 1 210 1 489 4.1 2.5 –7.8 –20.9
Oil 46 56 63 50 1.1 –0.4 –1.4 –2.7
Gas 16 85 126 163 3.6 2.5 –12.8 –24.4
Nuclear 10 29 78 175 9.6 7.2 13.9 43.7
Hydro 24 47 87 138 5.8 4.2 3.9 9.3
Biomass and waste 0 4 30 127 19.4 13.9 11.2 73.6
Other renewables
Other transformation,
6 15 30 77 6.7 6.5 2.3 24.2
own use and losses 162 300 415 504 3.0 2.0 –5.4 –11.2
of which electricity 24 71 127 174 5.4 3.5 –7.6 –16.1
Total final consumption 1 278 1 975 2 669 3 368 2.8 2.1 –5.5 –12.1
Coal 406 434 576 582 2.6 1.1 –6.8 –19.5
Oil 249 581 812 1 136 3.1 2.6 –6.5 –13.5
Gas 35 86 158 260 5.7 4.3 5.3 7.9
Electricity 85 252 487 719 6.2 4.1 –6.7 –14.4
Heat 14 37 53 72 3.4 2.6 –2.6 –2.7
Biomass and waste 489 585 575 574 –0.2 –0.1 –4.8 –8.4
Other renewables 0 0 7 24 – – 32.5 58.0
Industry 438 756 1 149 1 391 3.9 2.4 –4.2 –10.3
Coal 245 328 477 506 3.5 1.7 –6.8 –19.0
Oil 77 158 205 224 2.4 1.3 –8.1 –16.9
Gas 29 61 109 172 5.4 4.0 8.9 16.2
Electricity 51 144 268 349 5.8 3.4 –5.3 –11.3
Heat 11 25 35 48 3.2 2.6 2.4 11.4
Biomass and waste 26 39 54 92 3.1 3.4 17.2 27.4
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 – – – –
Transport 122 265 392 668 3.6 3.6 –4.7 –9.8
Oil 108 257 373 623 3.4 3.5 –6.0 –12.6
Biofuels 0 0 9 33 61.8 29.1 132.7 103.6
Other fuels
Residential, services
14 8 10 13 2.0 1.8 –0.0 –0.1
and agriculture 659 857 995 1 145 1.4 1.1 –7.4 –16.0
Coal 114 73 65 46 –1.1 –1.7 –8.3 –29.2
Oil 50 116 158 190 2.8 1.9 –6.0 –14.0
Gas 5 24 48 87 6.5 5.1 –1.9 –5.2
Electricity 29 91 192 328 7.0 5.1 –9.5 –18.8
Heat 3 11 17 23 3.9 2.8 –11.9 –23.3
Biomass and waste 458 542 509 445 –0.6 –0.8 –7.6 –16.7
Other renewables 0 0 7 24 – – 33.0 58.3
Non-energy use 59 96 133 164 3.0 2.1 –4.3 –7.7
550 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007