World Energy Outlook 2006

Reference Scenario: Transition Economies
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2004 2015 2030 2004 2015 2030 2004- 2004-
2015 2030
Total primary energy supply 1 488 1 077 1 259 1 420 100 100 100 1.4 1.1
Coal 330 203 228 203 19 18 14 1.1 0.0
Oil 454 223 263 298 21 21 21 1.5 1.1
Gas 599 536 633 745 50 50 52 1.5 1.3
Nuclear 60 73 81 104 7 6 7 1.0 1.4
Hydro 23 26 29 35 2 2 2 1.1 1.1
Biomass and waste 0 17 18 23 2 1 2 0.9 1.2
Other renewables
Power generation
21 1 5 13 0 0 1 21.3 12.2
and heat plants 574 535 604 654 100 100 100 1.1 0.8
Coal 171 133 149 116 25 25 18 1.0 –0.5
Oil 80 26 23 16 5 4 2 –1.3 –1.8
Gas 240 272 312 366 51 52 56 1.3 1.2
Nuclear 60 73 81 104 14 13 16 1.0 1.4
Hydro 23 26 29 35 5 5 5 1.1 1.1
Biomass and waste 0 4 4 5 1 1 1 –1.2 0.5
Other renewables
Other transformation,
0 0 5 12 0 1 2 24.9 13.5
own use and losses 200 157 176 202 100 100 100 1.1 1.0
of which electricity 43 39 44 50 25 25 25 1.1 1.0
Total final consumption 1 014 704 825 947 100 100 100 1.5 1.1
Coal 104 44 51 56 6 6 6 1.5 1.0
Oil 340 168 204 234 24 25 25 1.8 1.3
Gas 306 227 278 329 32 34 35 1.8 1.4
Electricity 121 95 116 144 13 14 15 1.9 1.6
Heat 123 159 162 167 23 20 18 0.2 0.2
Biomass and waste 0 12 14 17 2 2 2 1.6 1.4
Other renewables 21 0 0 1 0 0 0 1.8 5.6
Industry 446 245 289 337 100 100 100 1.5 1.2
Coal 44 31 38 42 13 13 13 1.9 1.2
Oil 79 28 35 40 11 12 12 2.0 1.4
Gas 199 81 103 129 33 36 38 2.2 1.8
Electricity 76 45 57 72 18 20 21 2.1 1.8
Heat 47 58 54 50 24 19 15 –0.6 –0.6
Biomass and waste 0 2 2 3 1 1 1 1.6 1.5
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37.1 25.4
Transport 154 140 176 204 100 100 100 2.1 1.4
Oil 135 90 115 133 64 66 66 2.2 1.5
Biofuels 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13.1 8.3
Other fuels
Residential, services
18 50 60 70 35 34 34 1.8 1.3
and agriculture 340 302 341 385 100 100 100 1.1 0.9
Coal 54 11 12 12 4 3 3 0.5 0.3
Oil 78 35 37 39 11 11 10 0.5 0.5
Gas 95 105 124 140 35 36 36 1.5 1.1
Electricity 36 41 50 62 14 15 16 1.8 1.6
Heat 76 101 107 117 33 31 30 0.6 0.6
Biomass and waste 0 10 12 14 3 3 4 1.5 1.3
Other renewables 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1.1 4.4
Non-energy use 75 17 19 22 100 100 100 1.1 1.1
508 World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007