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used grease are also subtracted from the cost of<br />

goods consumed. After these adjustments have<br />

been made, the final result is the cost of goods sold<br />

�food or beverage).<br />

A concern in computing the cost of goods sold is<br />

the method chosen to value the inventory. There<br />

are at least five ways that inventory can be valued,<br />

which will affect the cost of goods sold. The first-in<br />

first-out method requires that the first products<br />

received will be the first products used, which<br />

means that the remaining products at the end of<br />

the accounting period will be the most recent<br />

ones purchased. The modified version of this<br />

method uses the most recent purchase price to<br />

value all of the inventory.<br />

In contrast, the-last in first-out method states<br />

that the oldest products are the ones that remain in<br />

inventory. The specific identification method values<br />

the remaining inventory by assigning the actual<br />

cost of the actual unit that remains in inventory at<br />

the end of the period. The weighted average<br />

method calculates the ending inventory based on<br />

the weighted average of the purchases during the<br />

period. Food and beverage analysis is the comparison<br />

of the cost of food or beverage sold to the net<br />

food or beverage revenue or the comparison of the<br />

contribution margin of the food or beverage<br />

department �food or beverage revenue minus cost<br />

of food or beverage sold) to prior periods or a<br />

budget.<br />

Further reading<br />

Schmidgall, R. �1997) Hospitality Industry Managerial<br />

Accounting, 4th edn, East Lansing, MI: Educational<br />

Institute of the American Hotel and Motel<br />

Association.<br />

Uniform System of Accounts for the Lodging Industry, 9th<br />

edn, East Lansing, MI: Educational Institute of<br />

the American Hotel and Motel Association.<br />

food-borne illness<br />

STEPHEN M. LEBRUTO, USA<br />

Illness from food is caused by the ingestion of<br />

foodstuffs which have been directly or indirectly<br />

contaminated with harmful bacteria, such as<br />

salmonella �see sanitation). Such illnesses frequently<br />

cause stomach pains, diarrhoea and/or<br />

vomiting. Tourists avoid such illnesses by drinking<br />

bottled water, eating hot foods, and avoiding<br />

salads, local fruits, cold dishes and shellfish unless<br />

provided by reputable sources.<br />

food service, contract<br />

KATHRYN WEBSTER, UK<br />

A management contract is an arrangement<br />

under which operational control is vested by<br />

contract in a separate business which performs<br />

the necessary management functions for a fee. In<br />

the contract food service business, this fee may be a<br />

straight fee, one linked to the turnover of the<br />

business, one in which purchasing discounts are<br />

returned to the client organisation to offset against<br />

the fee, or a combination of these. Foodservice is<br />

typically contracted out for employee feeding in<br />

offices and factories, and increasingly in schools,<br />

hospitals and some tourism establishments.<br />

See also: commissary<br />

forecasting<br />

forecasting 233<br />

PETER JONES, UK<br />

Planning under conditions of uncertainty is both<br />

difficult and necessary, and it creates a substantial<br />

need for forecasts. Accurate forecasts of international<br />

tourism demand are particularly important<br />

on account of the perishable nature of the<br />

product �unfilled airline seats, empty hotel<br />

rooms, and unused hire cars result in lost revenue<br />

which cannot be recouped). They are essential for<br />

efficient planning by those businesses connected<br />

with the international tourism market, as well<br />

as of great interest to governments in origin and<br />

destination countries and to national tourism<br />

organisations. Forecasting techniques may be split<br />

into qualitative research and quantitative<br />

methods, and the latter may be further subdivided<br />

into causal and non-causal methods �see<br />

causal model).

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