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population; settlement; demographic decline? 325<br />

complex, prosperous societies, people use wealth in the pursuit <strong>of</strong> greater<br />

living space and in the purchase <strong>of</strong> more than one house; while in straitened<br />

circumstances, they retrench, housing, for example, elderly parents<br />

and young adult <strong>of</strong>fspring within the family home. Similar variables may<br />

well have applied in antiquity and the early Middle Ages. Indeed, there is<br />

some archaeological evidence to support this, in the Roman dwellings<br />

found to have been crudely subdivided in post-Roman times (see, for<br />

example, that in Fig. 6). 19 Some <strong>of</strong> these remains, <strong>of</strong>ten dismissed in the<br />

past as ‘squatter occupation’, may show the descendants <strong>of</strong> the original<br />

owners living in a more densely packed and less comfortable way than their<br />

ancestors. Charting such subtle but important shifts in the practices <strong>of</strong><br />

society is essential if we are to document demographic change at all reliably<br />

from the archaeological evidence; but they will certainly not show up<br />

in field-survey, and they may well be missed even in excavation.<br />

The very real problem with the evidence is readily demonstrated from<br />

the example <strong>of</strong> Italy. Large parts <strong>of</strong> the peninsula have been surveyed in<br />

intensive and <strong>of</strong>ten sophisticated field-surveys over the last forty years, and<br />

many <strong>of</strong> the recent surveys have been specifically interested in discovering<br />

early medieval settlements – but, for the most part, they have drawn a complete,<br />

or almost complete, blank for the late sixth to the eighth century. If<br />

the archaeological record was straightforward, there would be no one living<br />

in huge tracts <strong>of</strong> early medieval Italy. This is self-evidently nonsense: there<br />

must have been people living in these areas, and we just cannot find them.<br />

And since this is so, we are scarcely in a strong position to begin speculating<br />

as to how many <strong>of</strong> them there were.<br />

It is not only a close examination <strong>of</strong> the archaeological evidence that<br />

urges caution before producing too confident an account <strong>of</strong> post-Roman<br />

demographic collapse. When (for the first time in the Middle Ages) we have<br />

documents that allow local population estimates to be made, the so-called<br />

polyptychs <strong>of</strong> ninth-century Carolingian church estates (most famously<br />

that <strong>of</strong> 806/29 from the abbey <strong>of</strong> Saint-Germain-des-Prés in the Île de<br />

France), these reveal remarkably large rural populations. 20 The tradition<br />

amongst economic historians <strong>of</strong> the Middle Ages has been to play this<br />

down by describing these ecclesiastical estates as exceptional pockets <strong>of</strong><br />

dense population within a much emptier and undocumented landscape.<br />

But this argument smacks a bit <strong>of</strong> preconceptions and special pleading<br />

(designed perhaps to highlight a later, eleventh- and twelfth-century economic<br />

and demographic upturn). If instead we accept that both Roman<br />

and Carolingian Europe supported large rural populations, there is less<br />

room left for the traditional model <strong>of</strong> what happened to population in<br />

19 Nador: Anselmino et al. (1989). For other examples (at Carthage, Ptolemais and Déhès): Ellis<br />

(1985); Ward-Perkins et al.(1986); Sodini et al.(1980).<br />

20 Lot (1921); and, for further discussion and bibliography: Doehaerd (1971) 85–113; Rouche (1983).<br />

<strong>Cambridge</strong> <strong>Hi</strong>stories Online © <strong>Cambridge</strong> University Press, 2008

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