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climate, the environment and the economy 387<br />

Environmental change is more current amongst the explanations<br />

recently pr<strong>of</strong>fered for the decline <strong>of</strong> the Roman economy, and for understandable<br />

reasons. 72 It is quite clear that, during the Roman period, farming<br />

was everywhere intense, and that in all regions it was extended into marginal<br />

areas that were previously uncultivated. In the process, a great deal <strong>of</strong><br />

clearance must have taken place. Did this perhaps cause erosion and soilloss<br />

in the higher lands, and the consequent dumping in the valley bottoms<br />

<strong>of</strong> enormous quantities <strong>of</strong> potentially damaging alluvium? Indeed, does<br />

the over-intense exploitation <strong>of</strong> the land explain the remarkable<br />

fluctuations in regional prosperity which I have outlined above, so that a<br />

new region took over the mantle <strong>of</strong> intense agricultural exploitation until<br />

it, in its turn, was ruined by the very process <strong>of</strong> wealth-creation? 73<br />

This picture is certainly not just a figment <strong>of</strong> the ecologically conscious<br />

imagination, since geomorphologists, studying the sequence <strong>of</strong> river sediments,<br />

have found widespread evidence <strong>of</strong> a post-Roman phase <strong>of</strong> alluviation,<br />

which dumped immense quantities <strong>of</strong> soil in the valley bottoms and<br />

left a number <strong>of</strong> formerly coastal cities, like Ephesus, landlocked (as they<br />

are today). However, it may be a mistake to see this evidence as conclusive<br />

pro<strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong> a late Roman and post-Roman environmental disaster that can be<br />

widely used to explain the period’s economic problems. Firstly, it is normally<br />

impossible to establish, on the basis <strong>of</strong> the information currently<br />

available, exactly when and over how long a period, within the very wide<br />

‘late Roman and post-Roman’ periods, such alluviation took place – or even<br />

whether the process had not begun earlier: Strabo, for instance, in the time<br />

<strong>of</strong> Augustus, already gives a detailed account <strong>of</strong> the problems <strong>of</strong> siltation<br />

in the harbour <strong>of</strong> Ephesus. 74 Sequences <strong>of</strong> alluvium are difficult to date,<br />

and many more closely-dated cases are needed before we can satisfactorily<br />

relate alluviation to economic decline.<br />

Secondly, and more seriously, as with population decline, which we shall<br />

investigate next, on closer investigation the links between human activity,<br />

environmental decay and economic decline become complicated. Erosion<br />

(and consequent alluviation) may, for instance, have been caused less by the<br />

clearance <strong>of</strong> woodland cover to create fields and terraces than by the later<br />

abandonment <strong>of</strong> these terraces and field systems. If so, erosion and alluviation<br />

become as much a consequence as a cause <strong>of</strong> economic decay. Equally,<br />

even if alluviation did cause very real problems for settlements like Ostia and<br />

Ephesus, we need to question why, in late and post-Roman times, the inhabitants<br />

did not respond to the challenge more successfully. If the human<br />

resources <strong>of</strong> these settlements had been stronger, Ostia and Ephesus would<br />

surely have coped with environmental change (just as successful cities survive<br />

72 Greene (1986) 85–6. The pioneering Mediterranean-wide work was Vita-Finzi (1969).<br />

73 As argued by Randsborg (1992) 13–14. 74 Strab. xiv.1.24.<br />

<strong>Cambridge</strong> <strong>Hi</strong>stories Online © <strong>Cambridge</strong> University Press, 2008

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